23 Aug 2023

Bespokeinvest posted: "Here's one way to think about investing in equities and "buy and hold."

Casinos make money by making sure bettors eventually lose more often than they win. The stock market is the opposite. The longer you play, the better your odds. Historically, the odds of the S&P 500 being up over any one-month time frame have been 62.6%. Over a year, the odds of being up jump to 74.6%, and over eight years, they jump to 97%. Since 1928, all 16+ year time frames have seen positive returns. Check out this chart Bespokeinvest created to help people visualize this data a couple of years ago (updated through July 2023):

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