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This marketing document has been issued by Bank Syz Ltd. It is not intended for distribution to, publication, provision or use by individuals or legal entities that are citizens of or reside in a state, country or jurisdiction in which applicable laws and regulations prohibit its distribution, publication, provision or use. It is not directed to any person or entity to whom it would be illegal to send such marketing material. This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation or recommendation for the subscription, purchase, sale or safekeeping of any security or financial instrument or for the engagement in any other transaction, as the provision of any investment advice or service, or as a contractual document. Nothing in this document constitutes an investment, legal, tax or accounting advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate for an investor's particular and individual circumstances, nor does it constitute a personalized investment advice for any investor. This document reflects the information, opinions and comments of Bank Syz Ltd. as of the date of its publication, which are subject to change without notice. The opinions and comments of the authors in this document reflect their current views and may not coincide with those of other Syz Group entities or third parties, which may have reached different conclusions. The market valuations, terms and calculations contained herein are estimates only. The information provided comes from sources deemed reliable, but Bank Syz Ltd. does not guarantee its completeness, accuracy, reliability and actuality. Past performance gives no indication of nor guarantees current or future results. Bank Syz Ltd. accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of this document.
Meta's Hyperion: 91c. Hut 8's Nvidia-leased sites: 91-93. Microsoft-leased Excalibur: 87. All were sold as the "safe" end of the AI trade. Well, it's now very quickly repricing like the risky end. Source: Nic @puckrin, FT
Nvidia H100s now cost $2.85 per hour to rent, up 53% from the Feb 2025 low and the highest since 2024. Older chips were supposed to get cheaper as new ones arrived. This chart tells a different story. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
+46% QoQ. Profitable (adjusted). Cash-flow positive. $1.70 of revenue per $1 of compute. Few companies in history have printed a quarter like this. So why is the perp future on Binance down 14% from its high? 📉 Because markets price the slope, not the level. → Monthly run-rate growth: ~33% (Jan–Jul) vs 3–7% (Aug–Sep) → $100bn by year-end now needs Q4 to roughly double that pace → Token prices have halved in a month → Usage up, spend flat (Ramp data) → OpenAI is back, and it’s now a two-horse race → “Adjusted” profit, with $518bn of compute commitments ahead The key question: Can volume grow faster than prices fall? What to watch: the S-1 (~25 Oct), token prices, Q4 run rate, credit spreads. Spectacular numbers. Harder questions.
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