Upward revisions to earnings, which have been very sharp, have come mostly from AI infrastructure stocks where growth is very strong.
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Of the 320, the average earnings surprise has been 20% so far, the US seeing the biggest beats in years. Source: Bloomberg, Negligible Capital
(March 31st) with 4 of the top 5 contributors to SPX earnings growth coming from this cohort (Alphabet, NVIDIA, Amazon and Meta, the other is Micron) That said, Factset notes that the three of those who have reported though each were boosted by one-time non-cash items: "The (GAAP) EPS actual for Alphabet for Q1 2026 included a net gain of $37.7 billion primarily due to net unrealized gains on non-marketable equity securities. The (GAAP) EPS actual for Amazon.com for Q1 2026 included pre-tax gains of $16.8 billion included in non-operating income from investments in Anthropic. The (GAAP) EPS actual for Meta Platforms for Q1 2026 included an $8.03 billion income tax benefit." Source: Factset, Neil Sethi
Google nearly doubled what Wall Street expected. EPS came in at $5.11 against an estimate of $2.63, a 94% beat. Revenue hit $109 billion against an estimate of $107 billion. $GOOG jumped 7% and hit a new all time high. Microsoft beat every expectation. EPS of $4.27 against an estimate of $4.06. Revenue of $82 billion against an estimate of $81 billion. $MSFT gained 5%. Amazon had one of the biggest EPS beats of any company its size in years. EPS of $2.78 against an estimate of $1.64, a 70% beat. Revenue of $181 billion against an estimate of $177 billion. $AMZN dropped 7% immediately after the report and then fully recovered to close up 4%. Meta beat every single number Wall Street had. EPS of $10.4 against an estimate of $6.82, a 52% beat. Revenue of $56 billion against an estimate of $55 billion. $META dropped 7% anyway. Source: Bull Theory

