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Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

All major central banks raised interest rates again, but with different magnitudes and language.

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06/02/2023

After a very promising start of the year, investors are hopeful that markets will keep bouncing back with the resilience they have showed in January. Although the rate hike cycles now seem to have an end in sight, central banks still have much to handle. Here are ten stories to remember as we head towards springtime.

Most of the US equity indexes extended their winning streaks into February, helped by some upside surprises in economic data and Q4 earnings reports, as well as some dovish signals from the Fed. The S&P 500 reached an intraday high of 4,195 on Thursday, its best level since late August. A 23% jump on Thursday in Meta Platforms (Q4 beat + positive outlook) provided a major boost to the Nasdaq.

In a surprise move, the Bank of Canada (BoC), after raising its policy rate by 25 bps, announced a pause at its current level (4.5%) unless economic data surprises on the upside.

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01/02/2023

Eurozone bounces back and ChatGPT burries its first editorial team, while the road to recovery remains bumpy for US equities. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Stocks resumed their winning streak on the back of some signals that the economy might avoid a recession in 2023. Consumer discretionary stocks were especially strong, thanks partly to a big jump in Tesla shares over the week following a favorable outlook. Defensive sectors (consumer staples, health care, and utilities) lagged. Value stocks underperformed growth shares.

US Debt ceiling reached, while funds go big and long on Chinese equities in January. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The major US equity indexes ended mixed for the week and US Treasury yields fell as recession fears appeared to weigh on sentiment. The Dow Jones underperformed and gave back a portion of its year-to-date advance while the Nasdaq recorded a modest gain. Indeed, dampening inflation fears helped growth stocks to outperform, as the prospects of lower interest rates support their valuation multiples.

S&P 500 performs well amid reassuring inflation figures, while Bitcoin continues to rebound. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Stocks recorded a 2nd consecutive week of gains as investors weighed key inflation data and quarterly earnings reporting season kicked off in earnest on Friday. The Nasdaq and growth-oriented sectors outperformed, helped by rebounds in some mega-cap technology-related names. Large US Investment banks (JPMorgan, etc.) beat consensus expectations 4th quarter earnings estimates but issued cautious outlooks.

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