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Source: Goldman Sachs, Win Smart, CFA @WinfieldSmart
🚨 If Japan hiked rates, the US Dollar would weaken against the Yen. Anyone who is short the Yen then would have to sell off US equities in order to cover their short, which could've caused a decline in stocks. Most of those stocks would have been tech stocks. It also could have caused a sell off in Bitcoin as many people have borrowed against the Yen to put money into crypto. Basically it would be another edition of the Yen Carry trade which still has trillions of dollars tied into it. 😊 On a day like today, bulls really needed Japan to NOT raise rates. USD/JPY after the decision, up 0.27% Source: @amitisinvesting
👉According to the Goldman Sachs nowcast of central bank and other institutional gold buying on the London OTC market, October saw central banks buy a whopping 64 tonnes in October (vs. pre-2022 average of 17 tonnes), with China once again the largest buyer adding 55 tonnes, which is striking since the official number reported by the PBOC was one-tenth that, or just 5 tonnes. In other words, China is secretly buying up ~10x more gold than it admits. 👉Commenting on the surge in purchases, the Goldman analyst writes that "surveys and history suggest that EM central banks buy gold as a hedge against financial and geopolitical shocks" and adds that "central bank purchases will remain elevated because fears about geopolitical shocks have structurally risen since the freezing of Russian reserves in 2022, and because relatively low gold shares in EM central banks reserves vs. DMs leaves room for growth." In fact, 81% of the central banks surveyed by the World Gold Council expect global central bank gold holdings to rise over the next 12 months, with none anticipating a decline. 🚨 As shown on the chart below, what is far more striking is the staggering (and growing) divergence between the modest amounts of gold purchases reported by the hashtag#PBOC and the far greater amount China has actually purchased on the London OTC market, in a clear attempt to mask its staggering demand for the precious metal, and be extension, its diversification away from the dollar... Source; www.zerohedge.com