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This marketing document has been issued by Bank Syz Ltd. It is not intended for distribution to, publication, provision or use by individuals or legal entities that are citizens of or reside in a state, country or jurisdiction in which applicable laws and regulations prohibit its distribution, publication, provision or use. It is not directed to any person or entity to whom it would be illegal to send such marketing material. This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, solicitation or recommendation for the subscription, purchase, sale or safekeeping of any security or financial instrument or for the engagement in any other transaction, as the provision of any investment advice or service, or as a contractual document. Nothing in this document constitutes an investment, legal, tax or accounting advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate for an investor's particular and individual circumstances, nor does it constitute a personalized investment advice for any investor. This document reflects the information, opinions and comments of Bank Syz Ltd. as of the date of its publication, which are subject to change without notice. The opinions and comments of the authors in this document reflect their current views and may not coincide with those of other Syz Group entities or third parties, which may have reached different conclusions. The market valuations, terms and calculations contained herein are estimates only. The information provided comes from sources deemed reliable, but Bank Syz Ltd. does not guarantee its completeness, accuracy, reliability and actuality. Past performance gives no indication of nor guarantees current or future results. Bank Syz Ltd. accepts no liability for any loss arising from the use of this document.
The setup has echoes of the 2020/21 consolidation, when an extended period of range trading eventually gave way to a powerful breakout higher. Importantly, the dollar is also trading comfortably above its 50-week moving average, reinforcing the improving medium-term trend. A decisive move through the 100.5 area would strengthen the breakout case. After spending more than a year coiling inside the current range, a break higher risks creating a vacuum move as traders scramble to adjust to a regime shift in the dollar. Source: TME LSEG
📉 Many investors are once again betting on further yen weakness, even as the currency trades near a very sensitive level around 160 against the dollar, and have built their largest bearish positions on the yen since 2017. ⚠️ Market now seems to see these risks as largely priced in. A BoJ rate hike is no longer a real surprise, neither is intervention from the Ministry of Finance. The yen can still weaken gradually from here but the risk of a brutal squeeze rises as bearish positioning keeps building. Source: Christophe Barraud, Bloomberg
Inflation has averaged >4% per year over the past 6 years. Powell's explanation? It was nearly all due to rolling “supply shocks" over which the Fed has no control. The truth: this inflation was made in Washington as it always is - from too much government borrowing/spending and too much government creation of money. Source: Charlie Bilello
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