Next week, the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to embark on a new phase of its monetary policy: normalisation. After maintaining very restrictive rates to combat higher-than-target inflation, the ECB is poised to ease this restrictiveness. The first rate cut, expected next week, comes 266 days after the last rate hike, closely aligning with the historical average between cycles. Based on recent comments from ECB members, the rate cut is almost a certainty. However, the path to the terminal rate, which should be the neutral rate—which neither stimulates nor restrains the economy—will be long and winding.

The Bank of England (BoE) is set to release its crucial monetary policy decisions this Thursday, a pivotal event with implications that could reverberate across global markets.

An update on latest developments in the US economy

The Swiss National Bank cut its key rate to 1.50%, surprising markets as the first major central bank to lower rates post the 2022/23 hike cycle, citing effective inflation control and improved economic growth forecasts, aiming to support economic activity without undue pressure.

From global influence to economic indicators, let's dive into the facets of this retail phenomenon!

US House of Representatives ousted Kevin McCarthy as speaker, a first in U.S. history. This is likely to add to bond and equity markets volatility.

The FOMC kept rates unchanged as expected but made clear that higher rates are the new normal. US 2-year yields hit the highest level since 2006, after what can be described, as a still somewhat hawkish Fed.

The ECB just raised its key rates again today, by 25bp (main Refi rate at 4.50%, deposit rate at 4.00%).

It’s been a challenging summer for the Chinese real estate market, as the difficulties faced by Chinese developers continue to cast a shadow over the industry.

Fitch Ratings downgrades the U.S. from AAA to AA+ due to debt ceiling standoffs and fiscal concerns. Disagreements arise, but the downgrade reflects rising debt and governance issues. Markets react with higher bond yields, prompting a closer look at potential implications for investors.