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The major US equity indexes ended mixed for the week and US Treasury yields fell as recession fears appeared to weigh on sentiment. The Dow Jones underperformed and gave back a portion of its year-to-date advance while the Nasdaq recorded a modest gain. Indeed, dampening inflation fears helped growth stocks to outperform, as the prospects of lower interest rates support their valuation multiples.

Stocks recorded a 2nd consecutive week of gains as investors weighed key inflation data and quarterly earnings reporting season kicked off in earnest on Friday. The Nasdaq and growth-oriented sectors outperformed, helped by rebounds in some mega-cap technology-related names. Large US Investment banks (JPMorgan, etc.) beat consensus expectations 4th quarter earnings estimates but issued cautious outlooks.

An encouraging US jobs report pushed the major US equity indexes higher for the week – although we note that trading volumes were subdued. After a poor start of the week, Friday’s official payrolls report from the Labor Department appeared to turn sentiment back in a positive direction by raising hopes that the economy could be on its way to a “soft landing”.

The main US stock indices ended the last trading week of the year mostly lower in thin trading as the S&P 500 finished 2022 down nearly 20%. However, we note that the S&P 500 Index remained above its intraday low recorded the week before. Consumer staples and materials shares fell the most, while consumer discretionary shares were resilient, thanks in part to strength in Target and several other retailers.

The major US equities benchmarks were mixed in a week of generally quiet holiday season trading. Hawkish comments from the Fed and other global central banks over the previous week continued to be a key factor weighing on markets. Stronger than expected US GDP estimates (from 2.9% to 3.2%) and US weekly jobless claims surprising modestly on the downside intensified fears of future Fed rate hikes.

Intensified fears over rising interest rates pushed the S&P 500 Index lower for a 2nd consecutive week and to levels last seen in early November. Nearly every sector within the index recorded sharp losses with the exception of energy shares, which were supported by a rebound in oil prices. A roughly USD 4 trillion expiration in options contracts on Friday sparked additional volatility.

Stocks gave back much of the previous two weeks’ gains, as some surprisingly strong economic data (ISM services, Michigan Consumer Sentiment, PPI) dampened hopes that the Fed might soon be able to curb its program of raising interest rates to cool inflation. The S&P 500 Index recorded its worst return in five weeks and was unable to stay above its 200-day moving average following the recent rally.

The major U.S. equity benchmarks ended higher with growth stocks outperforming their value counterparts. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index did enter bull market territory on the final day of November, when it closed more than 20% above the low it hit in September 2022. Comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaling smaller interest rate hikes going forward drove U.S. Treasury yields lower this week.

The major US equities indices recorded gains during the week, with the S&P 500 Index finishing above the 4,000 level for the first time in two months. Favorable earnings reports in the retail and technology sectors as well as indications that the Fed is open to slowing its pace of rate hikes helped fuel the rally.

US equities gave back a portion of the previous week’s strong gains and closed modestly lower for the week. Growth stocks lagged value-oriented shares. The energy sector underperformed, however, as European oil and natural gas inventories reached near-peak levels. Dispelled reports of a Russian missile strike on Polish territory sparked a brief sell-off on Tuesday, but trading volumes remained muted for much of the week.

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