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Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

While the AI bubble seems to be deflating for the Magnificant 7, OpenAI's valuation is close to $90 billion! The shares of four of Wall Street's biggest banks are under pressure which is causing concern among investors and the market. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

US equities indices finished lower for a 2nd straight week, as market sentiment was dented by mixed corporate earnings reports, geopolitical tensions and concerns about rising bond yields. It was a busy week for quarterly earnings reports, with nearly a third of the S&P 500 Index due to report, including Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta and Amazon. Although most metrics reported by the companies showed solid growth and exceeded consensus expectations, markets seemed to pounce on indications of rising expenses, which weighed on shares. On the macro side, US real GDP grew at an annualized pace of 4.9% in Q3, led by strong consumer spending. Meanwhile, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index provided mixed evidence on whether inflation is moderating.

In Europe, the ECB has taken a pause in its rate-hiking spree for the first time since July 2022. All eyes are now on the upcoming monetary policy decisions from the Fed and the BoJ next week.

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27/10/2023

Cash is king, as the yield on US Treasuries exceeds the earnings yield on the S&P 500. Gold hits $2000 and China increasingly shuns US bonds. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Alarm bells are ringing in the world of fixed income as the 10-year nominal US Treasury yield skyrockets to 5%. This level hasn't been seen since July 2007, setting off concerns and reactions across financial markets.

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21/10/2023

Geopolitical concerns, tough talk from Fed officials, and a rise in long-term bond yields to 16-year highs appeared to weigh on sentiment and drove the S&P 500 Index to its biggest weekly decline in a month. The Nasdaq fared worst among the major benchmarks and nearly moved back into bear market territory, ending the week 19.9% below its early-2022. Growth stocks lagged their value counterparts. Europe, Japan and China equities dropped sharply over the week. Stocks started the week on a strong note helped by limited negative news flow regarding the Middle East over the weekend. Deepening tensions later in the week appeared to drain the gains, however.

US credit card default rate hits a new record high, US inflation slows, but at a sluggish pace and the IMF revises global growth projections downwards. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The major US equity indexes ended mixed as investors weighed inflation data against dovish signals from Fed officials. Large-cap value stocks outperformed, helped by earnings beats from Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and JPMorgan Chase. The banking giants kicked off the unofficial start to Q3 earnings reporting season. The prospect of a widening war in the Middle East boosted energy shares and defense stocks while weighing on airlines and cruise operators. Investors’ sentiment appeared to get a boost at the start of the week, after Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson told an economics conference in Dallas that he was mindful that the rise in long-term bond yields might affect the need for future rate hikes.

The escalation of geopolitical tensions has the potential to impact global inflation, while the current prevalence of restrictive monetary policies worldwide is anticipated to affect global growth in the coming months.

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13/10/2023

Last week, US debt rose by $275 billion to an unprecedented $33.44 trillion, its cost could soon represent around 20% of tax revenues and US banks are under pressure. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

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