Fast food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

The Friday rally didn’t save the week Despite a rally on Friday, the S&P 500 Index ended the week lower on comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that suggested a pivot to cutting rates might not occur as quickly as the market had hoped. Unease around the U.S. debt ceiling may also have weighed on sentiment, as U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen notified congressional leaders in a letter that the agency might not be able to meet its debt obligations “potentially as early as June 1.” Within the S&P 500, Tech stocks fared the best while Energy shares pulled back in sympathy with the price of WTI crude oil.

In the US, the dichotomy between what the market expects, a further hike (25 basis points) and then the end of the Fed's tightening cycle, and what the Fed continues to send out as a message, that rates will have to remain high for an extended period of time, will continue to drive the markets this week.

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01/05/2023

JP Morgan wins the bidding to acquire First Republic, April was an overall positive month for US equities, and should we sell in May and go away? Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Stocks recorded mixed returns this week as attention focused on earnings reports. 35% of S&P 500 Index companies (or 44% of its market capitalization) were scheduled to release results during the week. Meta and Microsoft jumped while other FAANGs were mixed. Cyclical sectors generally performed poorly, however, as investors weighed several new signs of an economic slowdown.

The traditional debt ceiling issue seems to be of greater concern this time around than in previous episodes, as the 1-year U.S. CDS exceeded 100 bps for the first time, while the difference between 1-month and 3-month Treasury yields reached nearly 2%.

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24/04/2023

The banking crisis in the US may not be over with deposits at U.S. commercial banks continuing to fall, hitting their lowest level since April 2021. Also, interesting timing for Apple to announce the launch of a savings account via a partnership with Goldman Sachs. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The possibility of a “technical default” by the US has been raised as the current debt limit for the US government, set by law, is expected to be hit sometime during the summer.

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24/04/2023

The major US equity indices ended mixed following a week while the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s so-called fear gauge, fell to its lowest level since late 2021. 88 S&P 500 Index companies had reported earnings as of Friday. Financials outperformed overall during the week despite a brief plunge in shares of Goldman Sachs after the investment banking giant missed consensus revenue estimates.

US inflation continues to decelerate, the Dow Jones rose for the fourth week in a row and US banks' requests for liquidity from the US Federal Reserve are down for the 4th consecutive week. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

The sharp rise in global rates had a negative impact on the performance of credit indices

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17/04/2023

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