Global stocks market indices are on the cusp of entering bear market territory, being down around 20% from their late 2021 all-time-highs. What would be the main triggers for a sustainable rebound of equity markets?

Global equity markets are nearing bear market territory, being down nearly 20% from their recent peak. The acceleration of the market pullback seems to indicate that investors are starting to anticipate a “hard-landing” of the global economy. In other words, they fear that central banks will fail to tame inflation without triggering a recession or sharp economic downturn. This risk shouldn’t be dismissed. However, we believe that the “soft landing” scenario has merit.

So said a former U.S. Treasury Secretary in 1971 to other finance ministers struggling with the soaring dollar. 50 years later, the strength of the greenback is again threatening many financial balances around the world.

Rate hikes abound across the world, following in the Fed’s footsteps. Volatility is peaking, tech stocks aren’t out of the woods and the US administration’s shrinking oil reserves are pushing the black gold’s prices ever higher. Each week, the Syz investment team takes you through the last seven days in seven charts.

Despite the sanctions, the ruble is at its highest level in 2 years against the euro. What are the reasons behind this rebound? Will the Russian currency hold as Russia has become a financial "pariah"?

Rising oil prices, booming tourism, Expo 2020’s success, structural reforms: lately, everything seems to be going in the right direction for the United Arab Emirates. A favorable situation that is also benefiting the local equity markets.

The current context of record high inflation with the risk of a sharp economic slowdown is exceptional. Will the Fed be able to engineer a “soft landing”?

Our leading indicators (macro & fundamental) continue to point towards challenges for equity markets. From a technical standpoint, the long-term equity bull market trend is being challenged while market breadth is not showing much signs of improvement. In Fixed Income, we remain cautious on rates and keep a disinclination stance on credit spreads. In Forex, we keep a disinclination stance on the EUR. Our “core” scenario for 2022 is adjusted towards weaker growth and higher inflation. Our leading indicators (macro & fundamental) continue to point towards challenges for equity markets. From a technical standpoint, the long-term equity bull market trend is being challenged while market breadth is not showing much signs of improvement. In Fixed Income, we remain cautious on rates and keep a disinclination stance on credit spreads. In Forex, we keep a disinclination stance on the EUR. Our “core” scenario for 2022 is adjusted towards weaker growth and higher inflation.

After an exceptional 2021, the first quarter of 2022 has been an emotional and difficult one for investors. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, surging inflation and the start of the Fed rate hike cycle weighed on both equities and bonds performance while commodities thrived. Here are 10 stories to remember from an eventful quarter.

The succession of two major crises (the Covid-19 pandemic and then Russia's war against Ukraine) could lead to major and lasting changes to the world order. In today’s Focus, we review 10 potential macroeconomic and financial trends which could shape the next decade.