Slow food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

The “Oil for dollars” deal between OPEC and the US has been in place since the 1970s. However, multiple geopolitical and economic factors could challenge its supremacy.

Actively managed Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gathering a lot of interest over the last few years. How do they differ from other ETFs? How do they compare with actively managed mutual funds?

Jay Powell's speech at the famous Jackson Hole Symposium was expected to be a “non-event” for financial markets. However, last Friday the S&P 500 experienced its biggest daily drop since mid-June. What are the reasons behind this sharp pullback?

Sluggish nuclear production, a gas market disrupted by the war in Ukraine and the unexpected effects of heat waves are sending European electricity prices into the stratosphere. How high can prices go? What are the consequences for the European economy?

Several factors seem to indicate that the euro may continue to depreciate against the franc, even though most of the bad news seems to be discounted already.

Since its June lows, the S&P 500 has rebounded more than 15%. Is this the beginning of a new bull market or an opportunity to further reduce portfolio risk?

Wall Street has its share of mysteries, not least the 'night effect', a market anomaly whereby money invested in US stocks works better at night than during the day.

As Prime Minister Boris Johnson gets ready to leave office, what is the outlook for the UK economy and financial assets?

With the dollar soaring and inflation rates reaching record levels, we may have entered a new era where countries seek to strengthen their currencies rather than weaken them.

High inflation has precipitated a slowdown in developed economies’ growth, with Europe facing the highest risk of stagflation due to the ongoing energy crisis. Central banks face a dilemma of high inflation and slowing growth, but remain on the hawkish side for the time being. The ECB is probably facing the most complex situation. While fiscal intervention might come to the rescue in order to cushion the blow from rising energy prices, political uncertainty is high as we enter the second half of the year: US mid-term elections, shockwaves in Europe from the war in Ukraine and sanctions on Russia, elections in India and Brazil are likely to keep financial markets' volatility at high levels.

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