Fast food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

Markets navigate a complex landscape marked by the Bank of Japan's rate hike to 0.50%, Trump's forceful return to monetary policy debates, and European credit spreads reaching multi-year lows, setting the stage for heightened volatility ahead.

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27/01/2025

Softer inflation data sparks a global bond rally, Japanese yields hit multi-year highs, and credit markets rebound with resilience, shaping an optimistic start to 2025.

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20/01/2025

In the first weeks of 2025, U.S. Treasury yields hit new highs, credit markets stay steady despite record issuance, and emerging markets showcase resilience with tightening spreads.

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13/01/2025

In 2024, U.S. Treasuries underperformed cash, while high-yield credit and emerging market bonds delivered exceptional returns—setting the stage for pivotal shifts in 2025.

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02/01/2025

Fed's surprise (very) hawkish stance sends 10-year US Treasury yields soaring above 4.5% - the highest since May 2024 - setting the stage for an uncertain 2025.

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23/12/2024

Global markets brace for central banks’ final 2024 moves, as the Fed prepares for another rate cut, Europe faces spread compression amidst rising rates, and emerging markets navigate a mixed landscape of tightening spreads and fiscal adjustments.

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16/12/2024

Central banks face a delicate balancing act, with the Fed set for a likely December rate cut amid resilient U.S. growth, while the ECB prepares for gradual easing as political instability and slowing inflation grip Europe.

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09/12/2024

U.S. Treasuries posted a strong finish to November, gaining +0.8% for the month, as Scott Bessent’s nomination as Treasury Secretary and softer-than-expected macroeconomic data provided a supportive backdrop.

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02/12/2024

Diverging economic trajectories widen the transatlantic gap, as resilient U.S. growth reshapes Fed policy expectations while Europe grapples with recession risks and deflationary pressures, driving contrasting bond market dynamics.

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25/11/2024

While U.S. Treasury volatility remains elevated, credit spreads show resilience, reflecting market optimism, even as fiscal uncertainties and rising rates weigh on global bond markets.

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18/11/2024

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