Slow food for thought

Insights and research on global events shaping the markets

SPECIAL ASSET ALLOCATION INSIGHTS The Russia-Ukraine conflict has pushed geopolitical risk to a very high level and is having a meaningful impact on global financial markets today through: 1. the rise of equity risk premium, 2. tighter financial conditions and 3. higher inflation ahead due to rising energy costs. We held an extraordinary investment strategy meeting this morning and would like to share our key takeaways below.

The traditional diversified equity and bond portfolio has enjoyed years of exceptional performance. However, the current market environment of low interest rates and high volatility invites investors to consider new portfolio management approaches. In our latest Focus note, Luc Filip, our Head of Discretionary Portfolio Management walks us through the inner workings of our new portfolio management model, at a time when the diversification properties of a bond & equities portfolio are much less effective than in the past.

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17/02/2022

With inflation on the rise, the era of negative bond yields seems to be coming to an end. Will this new paradigm curb risk-taking and lead to asset class rotation? In this edition of Focus we explore the consequences that rising interest rates will have on investment decisions. After decades of low and negative interest rates, the frozen global economy is showing the first signs of thawing with bond yields making their way back into positive territory. Will this drive capital away from riskier investments?

It has been a rough start to 2022 for risk assets as expectations of more rapid monetary policy tightening and inflation concerns pushed equities and bonds to sell-off simultaneously. The biggest macroeconomic development so far in 2022 is undoubtedly the hawkish pivot by both the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank in response to persistent inflation. But after a hectic January, and despite widening credit and European periphery spreads, global stocks saw some sense of calm return last week with narrowed down intraday swings.

The stock prices of the web giants (Alphabet, Facebook, Netflix, etc.) used to move in tandem. But for several months now, they have been diverging. Is this the end of big tech stocks being in synch, or is it an aberration?

Like the FED last week, the ECB’s official statement met market expectations but the press conference suprised.

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04/02/2022

After a strong 2021, it has been a rough start to 2022 for risk assets. For many years, stock and bond returns have consistently moved in opposite directions. But in January expectations of more rapid monetary policy tightening and inflation concerns pushed equities and bonds to sell-off simultaneously. Here are 10 stories to remember from an eventful month.

Anti-fragility describes a category of things that not only gain from chaos but may need it to survive and flourish. Among financial assets, CGBs (Chinese Government Bonds) seem to fit this concept.

Will 2022 be as strong as last year for the Swiss equity market? Which market segments and sectors should be favored?

This week, software giant Microsoft announced a deal to acquire the American video game publisher Activision Blizzard in an all-cash transaction valued at $68.7 billion ($95/share). What are the strategic reasons behind this gaming mega deal?

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