Slow food for thought
Insights and research on global events shaping the markets
US economy rebounds with robust job creation and wage growth. Risk assets soar with the S&P 500 hitting historic highs and Japan's Nikkei 225 at a 34-year peak. Our diversified strategy pays off; adjusting Switzerland and Emerging Markets in equities, upgrading GBP yield curve in fixed income, and tweaking forex positions.
Joe Biden's administration has put in place a vast investment programme that should strengthen the United States' dominant industrial position, particularly vis-à-vis Europe. But at what cost?
The two announced candidates for the US presidential election have diverging political and economic agendas. With possible consequences for stock market performance.
Disappointing performance from some ESG-labelled ETFs, record numbers of ESG fund closures in the US, increasing cases of "greenwashing"... Responsible investment is at a turning point. Find out more below.
The obesity drugs market offers substantial investment opportunities. Find out more in the FOCUS note attached.
While some 'secular' investment themes are strongly represented in portfolios (e.g. the 'Magnificent 7'), this is not the case for other bull markets. We have identified 5 of them.
2024 is expected to be the year when the economic chain reaction triggered by the Covid pandemic reaches its end.
This is one of the surprises of 2023. Despite rising interest rates, real dollar yields above 2% and a strong dollar, gold is close to all-time highs. What are the factors behind the rise in the price of yellow metal?
At the end of an eventful year, the Swiss economy has lived up to its reputation as the European continent's pole of stability in 2023. When the rest of Europe went into recession, Switzerland saw only a moderate slowdown in activity. While inflation in the eurozone reached levels not seen for decades, the pace of price increases in the Swiss Confederation remained largely contained.
Below are the top 10 events and surprises that could impact financial markets and the global economy in the New Year. These are not forecasts, but potential macro-economic, geopolitical or market events that are not anticipated by the financial markets. We also try to assess the probability of occurrence (high, medium, low) of each of them.
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