Slow food for thought
Insights and research on global events shaping the markets
Hong Kong's foreign exchange reserves continue to fall as the authorities struggle to keep the HKD in the 7.75 - 7.85 range.
Despite its immense potential and outstanding performance over the past 30 years, India remains underrepresented in international portfolios.
One theory puts forward the existence of a four-year stock market cycle linked to the term of office of the US President. The second part of the cycle is historically the most favourable for equity markets.
While we believe that equity markets remain in a downtrend, the weight of the evidence leads us to upgrade our one-month tactical view on equities from “unattractive” to “cautious”. Our view on EM Asia equities moves from “cautious” to “positive”. We are also upgrading our stance on credit from “cautious” to “positive” (though favoring Investment Grade).
Most portfolios remain invested in the winners of the 2010-2020 period. leaving them exposed to the risk of missing out on new opportunities.
Equity markets historically outperform in the 6 months following 1 November. What are the reasons for this? Can we expect positive seasonality in the current market environment?
While China’s growth data surprised positively over the weekend, Hong Kong and US-listed Chinese stocks sold off on Monday in reaction to the conclusion of China's 20th Party Congress. What is our take on the latest political and economic news? What are the consequences for China equity markets?
All the market's hopes lie in a change in the Fed's monetary policy. However, a U-turn seems unlikely in the short term.
The first nine months of 2022 will be remembered as one of the most challenging periods ever for asset allocators. For the first time in history, both equity and fixed income are down more than 10% as at the end of September.
With the bond market crash, major central banks are facing significant losses with consequences on their capital. To the point of threatening their efficiency and solvency?
Straight from the Desk
Syz the moment
Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.
Investing with intelligence
Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks