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An important US macro data is expected today: the CPI inflation data for June. The median forecast for headline CPI inflation is 3.1%, but markets are showing a wide range.
Prediction markets currently show that there is a 19% chance of June CPI inflation coming in ABOVE 3.1%, according to Kalshi. On the other hand, there's a 31% chance of inflation coming in BELOW 3.1%. There's even a 5% chance of CPI coming in above 3.3%, which would put inflation back on the rise. If CPI inflation comes in as expected, it would mark the 3rd straight monthly decline in YoY inflation. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
There is low volatility across asset classes.
Can it last? Source: Nautilus Research
🚨 JUST IN: China suspends its largest facilitator of short-selling in order to preserve market stability
Source: barchart
Big Tech is eating the world with Apple once again the undisputed Number 1.
Apple gained 2% after bullish Bloomberg report about the upcoming AI-enabled iPhone sales prospects. Apple is now worth almost $3.6tn in market cap, Microsoft is number 2 with $3.5tn ahead of Nvidia with $3.3tn. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
🚨 JUST IN: A bipartisan group of Senators announce proposal that would prevent lawmakers from buying stocks and prevent spouses and dependent children from trading stocks beginning in March 2027.
Source: Barchart
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