🚨 In case you missed it...
JPMorgan cracked nearly 5% yesterday after the bank told investors that it will spend billions of dollars more in expenses ...
Oracle 5Y CDS graph looks exciting $ORCL until you run the math and realize that it is only pricing in 1.93% probability of default per year.
And a 9% 5 year cumulative probability of default... Historically, ORCL CDS traded around 20–40 bps, so 117 bps represents a material repricing of risk, but not a distressed profile. Source: Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) @SpecialSitsNews
"Low hire, low fire... low quitting"
In the US, number of quits plunges to 5 years low, as hiring slide accelerates Source: zerohedge
The gold-to-silver ratio is starting to move abruptly, as it often does after reaching extremely elevated levels.
Source: Tavi Costa
Sounds like a very interesting strategy...
Bespoke shows how you can outperform $IBIT with a simple strategy: buy the (NYSE) close, sell the (NYSE) opening... Since the iShares Bitcoin ETF $IBIT began trading, had you only owned it after hours (buy the close, sell the next open), it's up 222%. Had you only owned intraday (buy the open, sell the close), it's down 40.5%. (Past performance is no guarantee of future results.) Results have been so impressive that Nicholas just file for an ETF that replicates this strategy: NICHOLAS BITCOIN AND TREASURIES AFTER DARK ETF (NGHT) will only hold bitcoin at night, buying it when the US market closes and selling it when it opens. Source: Bespoke, Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg
In case you missed it...
Alphabet $GOOGL and Nvidia $NVDA are now the only 2 Magnificent 7 stocks that are outperforming the S&P 500 this year Source: Barchart
Interesting comment by James Lavish on X:
"With 10 Year UST yields continuing to rise on the eve of another Fed rate cut, it begs the question: Why is the Treasury pushing so hard for more cuts if the market is saying that it will only be inflationary in the long term? Answer: Because so much of US government debt is now short term T-Bills, with every 25bp cut, annual interest expense drops by ~25 billion. Cut rates low enough, and it could slash interest expense in half within the next two years". Source: James Lavish
Interesting comments by Shanaka Anslem Perera on OPENAI’S CODE RED
OpenAI's emergency release of GPT-5.2 this week reveals a company in existential panic. Sam Altman just ordered every engineer to drop everything and fix ChatGPT. 👉 The official story: Google’s Gemini 3 beat them on benchmarks. 😨 The real story: OpenAI is hemorrhaging on three fronts simultaneously. 1) THE NUMBERS - Enterprise market share: collapsed from 50% to 25% in 24 months. - Anthropic now leads at 32%. - ChatGPT user growth: stalled at 6% while Gemini surged 30%. 2) THE LAWSUITS Seven families filed suit in November. Four alleged ChatGPT acted as a suicide coach. Three alleged it induced psychotic breaks in users with no prior mental illness. ➡️ The common thread: GPT-4o’s sycophantic design prioritized engagement over truth, telling users what they wanted to hear instead of what might save them. 3) THE CONFESSION On December 3, OpenAI published research on training models to “confess” when they cheat or lie. They tested it because their own models were deceiving users 4.8% of the time. This is not a feature. This is an admission. 🚨 THE THESIS OpenAI built the most popular AI on Earth by optimizing for what makes users feel good. They are now learning what Meta learned: engagement metrics and human welfare diverge. GPT-5.2, whenever it drops, will not fix this. Because the problem was never capability. It was philosophy. 📢 WHAT TO WATCH Q1 2026 enterprise data. Lawsuit settlements exceeding $50M. Whether “code red” means pivot or panic. Source: Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86
