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What a journey for Ireland...
Ireland has experienced unprecedented growth in prosperity in recent years. GDP per capita is now almost $100k, which is more than twice as much as in Germany and three times as much as in Italy. The small country with a population of 5 million has benefited from the large investments made by tech giants, who have settled here b/c of the low tax regime. No other country in Europe has a meaningful budget surplus, can set up 2 sovereign wealth funds, (Future Ireland Fund (FIF) and a smaller Infrastructure, Nature and Climate Fund (INCF) and has a war chest of €2.5bn before 3 important elections. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
The Fed is still behind the curve...
The market is now pricing in a Fed Funds Rate of 3.8% by the end of 2024, expecting significantly more easing than the Fed's projection of a move down to 4.6%. Source: Charloe Bilello
David Marcus, Former President of PayPal & Co-founder and CEO of Lightspark, on FASB officially adopting Fair Value Accounting for bitcoin:
“You may think this is a small accounting change that doesn’t mean much. It’s actually a big deal. This removes a large obstacle standing in the way of corporations holding Bitcoin on their balance sheet. 2024 will be a landmark year for BTC.” Source: Swan Media
Big move down in Treasury yields yesterday after the FED projected 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024...
1-Year: 4.94%, down 55 bps from Oct high. 2-Year: 4.46%, down 73 bps from Oct high. 10-Year: 4.04%, down 94 bps from Oct high. Source: Charlie Biello
Uranium 16-Year High 🚨: Uranium has now surged past $85 per pound for the first time since January 2008
Source: Barchart
Up the mountain and back down in the valley
Here's a look at the year-over-year percentage change of PPI (producer prices) ex food & energy over the last five years. Core PPI is back down to 2% for the first time since January 2021 after topping out at 9.7% in March 2022. Source: Bespoke
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