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17 Jul 2023

The S&P 500's 25% gain since last year's low has been driven by valuation expansion rather than rising earnings

The S&P 500's 25% gain since last year's low has been driven by valuation expansion rather than rising earnings. There is hope that earnings will start recovering in Q3 and through 2024. Source: Edward Jones

17 Jul 2023

Nokia sold 437 million phones in 2007. And Apple sold 1.4 million iPhones. Apple will sell more than 220 million iPhones this year

Nokia sold 437 million phones in 2007. And Apple sold 1.4 million iPhones. Apple will sell more than 220 million iPhones this year. And Nokia no longer makes its own phones. Source: John Erlichman

17 Jul 2023

Bullish sentiment on equities is getting even more bullish

Bullish sentiment on equities is getting even more bullish. Source: TME, Goldman Sachs

17 Jul 2023

Since 1941 strong first half S&P 500 performance has been associated with further gains in the second half of the year, though with more volatility

Since 1941 strong first half S&P 500 performance has been associated with further gains in the second half of the year, though with more volatility. Past performance does not guarantee future results... Source: Edward Jones

17 Jul 2023

The S&P 500 is currently trading ~12.5% above its 200-day Moving Average

The S&P 500 is currently trading ~12.5% above its 200-day Moving Average. We haven't seen $SPY this far above its 200-day since August of 2021, nearly two years ago. While it looks over-extended, it is not unsustainable. For instance, study the left side of the chart from Nov '20 - Aug '21 Source: Grayson Roze

17 Jul 2023

NASDAQ is trading in the upper part of the steep trend channel

NASDAQ is trading in the upper part of the steep trend channel. Note the shooting star candle today, a classical candle that should be observed closely post strong short term trends. One candle doesn't make a "case", but watch for a possible confirmation session. Source: TME, Refinitiv

17 Jul 2023

Sentiment on bitcoin can dramatically change in a matter of months or weeks.

Source: Benjamin Cowen

17 Jul 2023

The Biden administration announced it would automatically cancel education debt for 804,000 borrowers

The Biden administration announced it would automatically cancel education debt for 804,000 borrowers, for a total of $39 billion in relief. The debt cancellation is a result of the administration’s fixes to repayment plans, which included updated counts of borrowers’ payments. Source: CNBC

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