Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

5 Mar 2024

Not all Tech stocks are magnificent...

$AAPL and $TSLA the main downside outliers...

5 Mar 2024

Gold has been outperforming tlt (iShares US Treasuries 20y+)

Source: J-C Parets

5 Mar 2024

Look at this base as bitcoin hits 65,000 for the first time in over 2 years

Source: J-C Parets

5 Mar 2024

Gold is back

Gold prices just jumped above $2,100/oz for the first time since December 4th, 2023. It's also now just 2% away from a new all time high, even as Fed rate cuts are delayed. The beginning of a new bull trend for precious metals? Source: The Kobeissi Letter

5 Mar 2024

NEW: Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high in 14 of the G20 nations

Source: Simply Bitcoin

5 Mar 2024

Italian 10-Year Spread Hits Lowest Level in Two Years!

The surge in investor confidence has propelled Italian spreads to their lowest point in two years. The gap between Italian and German 10-year yields dipped below 140 basis points for the first time since early 2022. The rebound in Citi's European Economic Surprise Index has undoubtedly contributed to this trend. In a reflection of the credit market, peripheral bonds are demonstrating strong outperformance compared to core government bonds. However, amidst this optimism, questions linger: Is this downward trajectory sustainable? #ItalianBonds #MarketTrends #InvestmentOpportunities 🇮🇹💼

5 Mar 2024

Apple in the support zone

Apple (AAPL US) has now reached the support zone 165.67-171, after a 15% consolidation since December. Do you think support will hold ? Source : Bloomberg

4 Mar 2024

Unveiling the Impact of Quantitative Tightening: Intersting Insights from FT

🌟 Delving into recent insights from the Financial Times sheds light on the impact of Quantitative Tightening (QT) and its implications for financial markets. Let's break it down: 📊 QT's Functionality: Recent evidence from a study involving seven central banks, including the Fed's earlier QT efforts from 2017-2019, reveals that QT operates "in the background," subtly supporting central banks' endeavors to tighten financial conditions without significantly disrupting market functioning or liquidity. 💼 Market Reaction: Announcements of QT's commencement have led to slight increases in government bond yields. However, the actual implementation of QT, including outright bond sales, has had minimal disruptive effects on market dynamics and liquidity. 🔄 Passive vs. Active QT: The distinction between passive and active QT strategies is crucial. While passive QT (letting bonds mature) impacts short-end yields, active QT (outright sales) tends to steepen the yield curve, highlighting the nuanced effects of different QT approaches. 🤝 Market Support: The smooth adjustments observed in response to QT can be attributed partly to domestic nonbanks and, to a lesser extent, foreign investors stepping in to purchase securities as central banks reduce their holdings, maintaining market stability amidst changes in monetary policy. 💡 Navigating Future Challenges: What strategies will central banks employ to navigate the looming challenges posed by high government debt issuance and absorbed pandemic-era liquidity, in light of the insights gleaned from recent evidence on quantitative tightening's impact? #QuantitativeTightening #FinancialMarkets #CentralBanks #EconomicInsights

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks