An immediate consequence of soaring oil prices mean -> Soaring gas prices in the US
Now at their highest for this time of year since 2012 (and 2nd highest ever)... not great for headline inflation and consumer purchasing power Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Brent Oil hits $90/bbl for 1st time since Nov as Saudi Arabia extended its unilateral oil production cut by another three months
Source: Bloomberg, Holger
Rice prices soared to the highest in almost 15 years in Asia on mounting concerns over global supplies as dry weather threatens production in Thailand and after top shipper India banned some exports
Concerns over the potential impacts of El Nino on production in some suppliers provided further underpinning to prices, as did rain-induced interruptions and quality variability in Vietnam’s ongoing summer-autumn harvest,” a FAO report stated. India, the world’s leading rice exporter, banned exports of non-basmati white rice on Jul. 20, as the government seeks to keep a cap on soaring food prices at home, and ensure there are enough supplies domestically “at reasonable prices.” Source: Bloomberg. CNBC
Is stocks leadership vs. commodities starting to roll over?
Source: J-C Parets
Crude Oil had its 6th consecutive green week, the longest weekly winning streak since February 2022
Source: Barchart
Commodities on the run
Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index is currently having its best monthly performance since March. Source: Bloomberg, Liz Ann Sonders
Top Cobalt Producers
Colbalt is essential for a series of technologies, from batteries needed for EVs to portable devices like smartphones, tablets, and laptops. The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has long been the world’s largest cobalt producer, accounting for 73% of global output in 2022. However, according to the Cobalt Institute, the DRC’s dominance is projected to decrease to 57% by 2030 as Indonesia ramps up its cobalt production as a byproduct from its rapidly expanding nickel industry. Indonesia accounts for nearly 5% of global cobalt production today, surpassing established producers like Australia and the Philippines. Source: Visual Capitalist, Elements
Investors are currently quite bearish on oil and commodities
The risk of higher energy and higher commodities prices in H2 doesn't seem to be priced by the market. Meanwhile, Crude Oil futures are pushing up against new 3-month highs. Could this be the big surprise of the second part of 2023? Source: All Star Charts
