Syz the moment

Source: Charlie Bilello

By: Raman Khanna

The chart below courtesey of Eric | AI & Tech Investing shows semiconductor companies ranked by R&D over the last 12 months. $INTC $QCOM $NVDA $AMD $TSM lead the way. Intel has spent over $100B in R&D over the last decade. Despite that, they have the 2nd lowest shareholder return of all these companies (see addt'l chart below). Intel has generated $52.9B in revenue over the last twelve months. A decade ago, Intel generated $52.4B in revenue. An important cautionary tale for investors: R&D doesn't guarantee growth. Source: Eric | AI & Tech Investing

Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg

Insiders sold or filed to sell about 370,000 shares last month worth ~$180mln. Zuckerberg sells 1st Meta shares in 2 years after 172% surge. Meta co-founder unloaded $185mln of stock in November. Meanwhile, Nvidia Corp. executives and directors last month sold or filed paperwork showing they intend to sell roughly 370,000 shares worth about $180 million, according to data compiled by the Washington Service. If all of the shares were sold, it would be the biggest monthly disposal by dollar value in at least six years. Source: Bloomberg, Holger Zschaepitz

The current top 5 companies by market cap make up ~26% of the S&P 500, The last time the top 5 had a greater concentration in the S&P 500 was 1964 w/AT&T, GM, Exxon, IBM, Texaco. Source: HolgerZ

Not all fiscal policy has to be a bad thing... this could indeed lead to a big increase in the productivity we will see over the coming years due to this. Source: Ryan Detrick, Carson * CHIPS Act -> In July 2022, Congress passed the CHIPS Act of 2022 to strengthen domestic semiconductor manufacturing, design and research, fortify the economy and national security, and reinforce America’s chip supply chains. The share of modern semiconductor manufacturing capacity located in the U.S. has eroded from 37% in 1990 to 12% today, mostly because other countries’ governments have invested ambitiously in chip manufacturing incentives and the U.S. government has not. Meanwhile, federal investments in chip research have held flat as a share of GDP, while other countries have significantly ramped up research investments. To address these challenges, Congress passed the CHIPS Act of 2022, which includes semiconductor manufacturing grants, research investments, and an investment tax credit for chip manufacturing. SIA also supports enactment of an investment tax credit for semiconductor design.

This figure is more than triple the combined visits to Facebook's family of products, Twitter, Baidu, Amazon, and ChatGPT. Source: Beth Kindig $GOOGL $META $BIDU $AMZN $MSFT