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Breaking down the AI semiconductor ecosystem:
While $NVDA gets most of the attention, AI is additive to most of the semiconductor industry. Source: Eric AITechInvesting
Big tech has notched over $200B in profits in 2023 so far
To see how massive they are, this comparison of their market caps vs. the private tech sector (unicorn valuations) makes it quite clear. Source: CB Insight
The S&P 500 technology sector's relative strength versus the broad market is at its highest level since March 2000
Source: Charlie Bilello
High R&D spending does NOT guarantee growth and/or high shareholder returns
The chart below courtesey of Eric | AI & Tech Investing shows semiconductor companies ranked by R&D over the last 12 months. $INTC $QCOM $NVDA $AMD $TSM lead the way. Intel has spent over $100B in R&D over the last decade. Despite that, they have the 2nd lowest shareholder return of all these companies (see addt'l chart below). Intel has generated $52.9B in revenue over the last twelve months. A decade ago, Intel generated $52.4B in revenue. An important cautionary tale for investors: R&D doesn't guarantee growth. Source: Eric | AI & Tech Investing
Unprofitable Tech stocks continue to outperform the Magnificent 7, with the latter now back at support levels seen in the early summer relative to the unprofitable names...
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Peak Big Tech? Nvidia insiders unload shares after 220% AI rally:
Insiders sold or filed to sell about 370,000 shares last month worth ~$180mln. Zuckerberg sells 1st Meta shares in 2 years after 172% surge. Meta co-founder unloaded $185mln of stock in November. Meanwhile, Nvidia Corp. executives and directors last month sold or filed paperwork showing they intend to sell roughly 370,000 shares worth about $180 million, according to data compiled by the Washington Service. If all of the shares were sold, it would be the biggest monthly disposal by dollar value in at least six years. Source: Bloomberg, Holger Zschaepitz
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