Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

25 Aug 2023

Images of Powell arriving at Jackson Hole have just surfaced. $SPY

Source: TrendSpider

23 Aug 2023

Price changes before/on/after FED speeches at Jackson hole " since 2003, there are 7 instances $SPX down 2 weeks prior to #JacksonHole .. 6 of 7 instances, equities rose in the week post-JH ..”

Source: Fund Strat thru Carl Quintanilla

23 Aug 2023

Think you're bad at timing the market? CEOs Business Confidence historically hits the lowest level at market bottoms...

Sounds like an effective contrarian indicator... Source: Brian Feroldi

23 Aug 2023

In case you missed it...what's going on with Citigroup?

Yesterday it had its lowest close of 2023, back to the panic levels of mid-March when Silicon Valley Bank failed. Source chart: James Bianco

23 Aug 2023

World’s Biggest Wine Producers by Country

Source: Visual Capitalist

23 Aug 2023

Orange juice futures are trading like a meme stock! The surge is mainly driven by #supply driven (exarcebated by speculators positioning). The 2 supply issues are the following:

1/ Extreme weather intensified by global heating ravaged this season’s crop of the citrus fruit: last year Florida, which produces more than 90% of the US’s orange juice supply, was hit by Hurricane Ian, Hurricane Nicole and freezing conditions in quick succession, devastating orange producers in the Sunshine State. 2/ A bacterial disease -> Florida Producers battled an incurable citrus greening disease that is spread by an invasive insect, rendering fruit unusable. Most infected trees die within a few years, and some producers said they were giving up farming and selling their land. Industry figures said US orange production would reach its lowest level for more than a century. Source: The Guardian, Longview Economics

18 Aug 2023

At least a positive (contrarian) news

The SPX Put to call ratio is at its highest since the SVB banking crisis. In a short term view, the 'PUT BUS' is getting crowded and a crowded trade is usually not a good trade. Source: JC Investment

18 Aug 2023

Options specialists seem to indicate that $SPX 4350 is the new put wall to watch

Markets & Mayhem shows that we are deep in negative gamma territory, with dealers estimated to be short about $58.41B of gamma exposure This often leads to an increase in volatility as it is more likely that dips are sold and rips are bought.

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks