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VIX seasonality suggest some volatile months ahead for stocks
Vix Seasonality
The Magnificent Seven have added nearly $4.2T in market cap this year, led by Apple’s $AAPL $781B increase and Nvidia’s $NVDA $745B rise
Microsoft $MSFT, Amazon $AMZN, and Meta $META all have added over $500B as well. Will it last? Source: Beth_Kindig
This could be a problem for sugar prices which already hit 12-year highs back in May
Source: Barchart
Saudi Aramco 2Q 2023 profit vs. profits of the Majors
Source: company results
Market-implied inflation expectations over the next 5-10 years have risen to the highest levels in more than a year
Traders are starting to game out a future with sustainably higher inflation and higher long-term bond yields. Source: Bloomberg, Lisa Abramowiz
One asset class - two different bets => hedge funds are shorting US treasuries at historic levels while asset managers are doing the exact opposite 👀
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
The lagging effects of higher interest rates ?
Yellow Corp. filed for bankruptcy and will remain shuttered after the trucking firm’s long-running financial woes (rising bond & loan payments) were compounded by a dispute with its labor force (wage inflation). The firm closes after nearly 100 years and leaves 30k employees jobless (this will likely be reflected in a lower payroll print for August). Source: Bloomberg
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