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Cocoa Speculation Hits All-Time High
Speculative Traders have built a long position worth $8.7 billion in Cocoa, the largest in history. Source: FT, Barchart
BEWARE OF SCALPING!
I see more and more amateur traders taking scalping training and lessons and engaging into day-trading activities hoping to make quick profits and a living from it. They need to be aware that the vast majority of hashtag#trading strategy are money losing (see this article: https://lnkd.in/e4vb2Nde). The best investment strategy is long-term investing, sticking to a pre-defined strategic assetallocation and rebalancing after extreme moves. What is scalping? A scalping strategy is a short-term trading technique that aims to capitalize on small price movements in highly liquid markets. Traders who employ this strategy, known as scalpers, enter and exit trades quickly, usually within seconds or minutes, to take advantage of small price differentials. But scalping is hard and almost all scalpers end up losing. Scalping is a waste of time because it involves competing with better-equipped traders and institutions and you need to deal with lots of randomness and noise in the market. Most likely you end up losing money.
Putting things into perspective:
Despite rising yields and hotter-than-expected inflation, the S&P 500 has continued higher in 2024. Source: Edward Jones
A history of bubbles from BofA shows we may still be in the very early stages of an AI bubble.
Source: BofA, TME
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