A remarkable chart. The sector composition probably does not explain everything
Source: Michel A.Arouet
FED meeting minutes key takeaways:
1) rates likely at or near their peak 2) 2pct inflation target is maintained 3) monetary policy is likely to stay restrictive for some time 4) clear progress has been made on inflation (dixit the Fed) 5) see rate cuts by the end of 2024 FOMC views continue to diverge from market expectations (2x more rate cuts are currently priced vs. Fed guidance) Source: CNBC, The Kobeissi Letter
Volatility on bitcoin is likely to increase as conflicting news regarding a bitcoin spot ETF approval by SEC continue to come out
Uncertainty.
The international role of the US dollar in one chart
Source: JP Morgan
US Interest expense ~$1.1 trillion as of today
That's $250BN more than the Defense Budget; $250BN more than spending on Medicare, $200BN more than spending on health, and will surpass the $1.35 trillion spending on Social Security this year, becoming the single biggest outlay Source: www.zerohedge.com
US Hiring plunged by 363K in November, the biggest monthly drop since July 2020
Vacancies fell in November to 8.79 million, lowest since 2021 Quits rate dropped to lowest level in more than three years Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Abu Dhabi Royal Sets Up Firm to Hold $27 Billion in Assets
Abu Dhabi’s largest listed company, led by a key member of the emirate’s royal family, is setting up a new holding firm with assets worth 100 billion dirhams ($27 billion) across sectors ranging from financial services to mining. The new firm, called 2PointZero, will be transferred into Abu Dhabi’s $239 billion International Holding Co. Its holdings will include portions of Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan’s sprawling empire, according to a statement late Tuesday. Lunate, Abu Dhabi’s newest fund, will be part of 2PointZero. International Resources Holding, which last month invested more than $1 billion in Zambia’s Mopani copper mine, will also be transferred into the vehicle. Other holdings will include private investment firm Chimera, Egypt’s Beltone Financial, crypto miner Citadel Technologies and Middle East-focused Sagasse Investments. Source: Bloomberg
UPDATE -> Bitcoin $BTC price dumped 9% in 1 hour on the basis of a report by Matrixport predicting an SEC rejection of ALL Bitcoin ETF applications
Their justification? Politics. - 5 voting commissioners are Democrats. - Democrats don't like 'crypto'. - Applicants haven't satisfied the SEC's requirements. - There is not political justification to approve a Bitcoin ETF. Eric Balchunas continues to give a +90% chance of approval due to a number of factors, especially the SEC's significant change in behaviour by way of engaging with applicants and providing them with guidance on updating their applications. Source. Bitcoin Archive
