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China's holdings of US Treasuries continue to move in a straight line lower
Their holdings of US Treasuries have declined by $300 billion since 2021. Currently, China holds just under $800 billion of US Treasuries, levels not seen since 2009. As interest rates are peaking, the foreign private sector has been slowing purchases. Also, as China faces increasing economic headwinds, it is likely this trend resumes.
Chinese Stocks have fallen to a P/E Ratio of just 8, their lowest valuation in a decade 👀
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
All the headline numbers have showed that the labor market is incredibly strong
But is it really? Currently, the US has a record ~8.6 MILLION people that are holding 2 or more jobs. Since 2020, nearly 2.6 million people have taken on an additional job. Source: Bloomberg, The Kobeissi Letter
This US equity bull market doesn't care about earnings misses...
Despite the fact that >20% of SPX companies have missed, on average, they are still getting rewarded for it. Source: TME, Jefferies
The "Deutsche Mag 5" -> Germany has its version of Magnificent 7 stocks
An index consisting of SAP, Siemens, Allianz, Munich Re, and Deutsche Telekom has outperformed the Dax Price Index by almost 90ppts over a 10y period. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg, TME
Germany has its version of Magnificent 7 stocks">
Germany has its version of Magnificent 7 stocks">
A Hong Kong court has ruled that Evergrande, China's largest real estate developer, must be liquidated
The stock is now down another 20% today on the news and trading has been halted. Evergrande is now considered the most indebted property developer in the world. This comes at a time when China's HY Real Estate Index is down 85% in 2 years. China is also preparing hundreds of billions in economic stimulus along with considering a ban on short selling. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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