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29 Jan 2024

China's holdings of US Treasuries continue to move in a straight line lower

Their holdings of US Treasuries have declined by $300 billion since 2021. Currently, China holds just under $800 billion of US Treasuries, levels not seen since 2009. As interest rates are peaking, the foreign private sector has been slowing purchases. Also, as China faces increasing economic headwinds, it is likely this trend resumes.

29 Jan 2024

Where the next 1,000 babies will be born

Source: Amazing maps

29 Jan 2024

Chinese Stocks have fallen to a P/E Ratio of just 8, their lowest valuation in a decade 👀

Source: Barchart, Bloomberg

29 Jan 2024

All the headline numbers have showed that the labor market is incredibly strong

But is it really? Currently, the US has a record ~8.6 MILLION people that are holding 2 or more jobs. Since 2020, nearly 2.6 million people have taken on an additional job. Source: Bloomberg, The Kobeissi Letter

29 Jan 2024

This US equity bull market doesn't care about earnings misses...

Despite the fact that >20% of SPX companies have missed, on average, they are still getting rewarded for it. Source: TME, Jefferies

29 Jan 2024

The "Deutsche Mag 5" -> Germany has its version of Magnificent 7 stocks

An index consisting of SAP, Siemens, Allianz, Munich Re, and Deutsche Telekom has outperformed the Dax Price Index by almost 90ppts over a 10y period. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg, TME

29 Jan 2024

A Hong Kong court has ruled that Evergrande, China's largest real estate developer, must be liquidated

The stock is now down another 20% today on the news and trading has been halted. Evergrande is now considered the most indebted property developer in the world. This comes at a time when China's HY Real Estate Index is down 85% in 2 years. China is also preparing hundreds of billions in economic stimulus along with considering a ban on short selling. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

29 Jan 2024

NARROWNESS >>> The top 13 stocks have driven the whole of the S&P’s YTD upside with the top five contributing ~70%

Source: Bloomberg, TME

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