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US CPI has moved down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022 to 3.1% today
What's driving that decline? Lower rates of inflation in Fuel Oil, Gas Utilities, Gasoline, Used Cars, Medical Care, Apparel, New Cars, Food at Home, Electricity, and Food away from Home. Shelter and Transportation are the only major components that have a higher inflation rate today than June 2022. Source: Charlie Bilello
The share of workers voluntarily quitting their jobs is down to 2.3%
This is the lowest since January 2023 and down from 3.1% prior to the Fed started rate hikes. Weaker labor demand will be the theme of 2024 as job growth slows and rates stay higher for longer. Furthermore, as excess savings have now been depleted, consumers are more reliant on holding a job. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
A slightly disappointing US CPI inflation numbers for the markets...
US YoY CPI eased to 3.1% in November from 3.2% while the important core reading was unchanged at 4% YoY, despite seeing the MoM tick a bit higher. The so-called super-core, a measure watched by the Fed, meanwhile rose at one of the fastest monthly paces this year.
US population growth has fallen off a cliff. Nearing 0% levels indicating almost NO growth. Current levels have NOT been seen in 100+ years
Source: Game of Trades
China is the only country experiencing deflation
CPI is down 4.7% since 2020 while every other country has experience inflation – some experiencing the highest in decades. Source: Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA, Bloomberg, Macrobond
Largest US Companies by Market Cap, 1960 to Today...
Source: Charlie Bilello
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