us households equity allocation is at record high
Source: Goldman Sachs
The worst seems behind the economy.
This is indicated by the Ifo Business Climate Index, which has jumped to 87.8 in March, highest level since June 2023 vs 86.0 expected. Current conditions rose to 88.1 in March from 86.9 in Feb, Ifo business confidence to 87.8 from 85.7 in Feb. Suggests that we could see a recovery as households begin to spend their real income gains. Employment is robust and nominal wage growth comfortably exceeds inflation again. There could be some green shoots in the export sector, and even the deep slump in construction may have bottomed out. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Current state of the stock market:
Wingstop, $WING, a chicken wing company, is now up 84% over the last year and worth $10 billion. It's trading at 144x earnings and tripling the S&P 500's return... Who needs AI when you have chicken wings? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Swiss National Bank SNB cuts interest rates by 0.25%, chart
@BloombergTV
At 5,215, the S&P 500 is already 7.3% above the average 2024 year-end price target from Wall Street strategists (4,861). $SPX
Source: Charlie Bilello
Why are gold and digital gold (aka bitcoin) rallying?
Sometimes one chart is worth a thousand words... As explained by Tavi Costa, If easing monetary conditions with inflation re-accelerating is the next move, then this is probably the most compelling setup to own hard assets (and storer of values) that we've ever seen. Source: Tavi Costa, Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
This table explains why markets were soooo... happy yesterday.
As shown by Charlie Bilello: as compared to their December forecasts, the Fed is expecting higher Real GDP growth (2.1% vs. 1.4%), lower Unemployment (4.0% vs. 4.1%), & higher Core PCE Inflation (2.6% vs. 2.4%) but is still anticipating 3 rate CUTS this year. This uber-dovish and bullish for risk assets and gold...
Look at this base on silver... could it follow the steps of gold ?
Source chart: J-C Parets
