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1 Nov 2023

The SP500 $SPX continues trading inside the almost perfect channel that has been in place since July highs

So far this is just a reversal off the lower part of the channel. First resistance is around the 200 day moving average, currently at 4260ish. Note the 50/100 day cross very much in "force". Source: TME, Refinitiv

1 Nov 2023

“Millions of my people will die, but that's a sacrifice I'm willing to make" - Egypt’s Prime Minister

Source: WSJ, Wall Street Silver

1 Nov 2023

Beware the short squeeze... CTAs are now short $25 billion of US equities, one of the largest short positions in the 8 years...

Source: Barchart

1 Nov 2023

*BREAKING* BOJ Buys More Bonds to Slow Rising Yields a Day After Tweak Central bank acts after 10-year yield touches decade high - BLOOMBERG

The Bank of Japan stepped into the bond market unexpectedly Wednesday to curb the pace of gains in sovereign yields, just a day after announcing it was loosening its grip on debt prices. The central bank’s unscheduled purchase operation statement came as the benchmark 10-year bond yield touched 0.97% — a fresh decade-high but still below the 1% cap it removed in favor of a more flexible policy setting. There was very little immediate market reaction to the move, with traders trimming one basis point off the 10-year yield before it recovered half of that. Bond futures pared losses and the yen, which is sensitive to shifts in interest rates, shed a fraction of its advance versus the dollar.

1 Nov 2023

The US equity market ultra-dominance

Source: Michel A.Arouet, Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs

1 Nov 2023

Another Uptober for Bitcoin. Largest cryptocurrency gained 28% in Oct, most since Jan2023

Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

1 Nov 2023

Who's buying houses with record high prices and 8% mortgage rates. The answer?

Millennials are piling in to new mortgages even with the spike in rates. Since Q4 2021, Millennials have seen a ~20% increase in mortgage debt. This is the same group of people who just had student loan payments return at an average of $500/month. It's a tough time to be a Millennial... Source: The Kobeissi Letter, BofA

1 Nov 2023

Bitcoin white paper turns 15 as Satoshi Nakamoto’s legacy lives on

“I’ve been working on a new electronic cash system that’s fully peer-to-peer, with no trusted third party,” Satoshi wrote in an Oct. 31 email in 2008. Bitcoin $BTC Golden Cross formation. Today, there is a Golden cross formation which just took place on $BTC - see chart below. Source: Barchart

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