After hitting a 16-year low against the U.S. Dollar, China's currency had its biggest gain in almost 3 weeks after the country issued a warning not to bet against its currency
Source: Barchart, FT
Cryptocurrencies were again under pressure today with bitcoin testing $25k
There are fears that altcoins face significant downside as FTX potentially seeks to dump its $3.4BN digital asset holdings. This is happening as BTC is close to a 'death cross' - 50DMA dropping below 200DMA... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohege.com
Median US home prices are now contracting at a level only seen 2 times in the last 60 years:
- 1970 - 2008 Both ended in severe recessions Source: FRED, Game of Trades
Priceless Life Advice from Charlie Munger
Source: Investment Books (Dhaval)
Long Nuclear short Windmills?
Source: Steno Research & Macrobond
Hedge Fund YTD returns by strategy as of August 2023
Source: www.aurum.com
SoftBank's $ARM IPO is coming up
The chip designer aims to raise ~$5B, targeting a valuation of $50B-$55B. It's the largest US IPO since $RIVN in 2021. Note that SoftBank’s $50bn flotation of Arm is more than five times oversubscribed, according to bankers pitching investors on the biggest initial public offering in nearly two years, as the UK-based chip designer forecast accelerating revenue growth boosted by the artificial intelligence boom. Despite investor concerns about a drop in profits in Arm’s most recent quarter amid a smartphone industry slowdown and the company’s exposure to multiple risks in China, advisers working on the Nasdaq listing said there was “little price sensitivity among investors”, many of whom would be forced to buy because of Arm’s inclusion in indices. Here's a snapshot of its FY 2023 income satement by App Economy Insights
$3.4bn of altcoins could be starting to see some selling pressure
In an April filing, FTX said it held $3.4bn in crypto assets. In last week’s filing, FTX indicated its willingness to sell $200m of crypto assets per week as the company wants to return fiat instead of crypto to its users. This means FTX will continue to sell assets until the end of 2023. FTX holds and will potentially start selling: SOL $685m FTT $529m BTC $268m ETH $90m APT $67m DODGE $42m MATIC $39m BIT $35m TON $31m XRP $29m Source: Markus Thielen
