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1 Sep 2023

After rising ~$3,000 on the Grayscale news, prices just fell $1,000 in a matter on minutes

In less than a day, Bitcoin has shed nearly all the gains it made from Grayscale Investment's court victory against the United States Securities regulator. On Aug. 29, Bitcoin popped to a two-week high after a judge ruled that the Securities and Exchange Commission was “arbitrary and capricious” when it rejected Grayscale’s spot Bitcoin ETF application. However, the SEC’s Aug. 31 decision to delay seven pending spot Bitcoin ETF applications sent Bitcoin’s price downward — falling nearly 5% in the 24 hours to 12 am UTC Sep. 1. This could brutal move coud also be a sign of drying liquidity in the market. This is indeed the 4th "flash-crash" happening on bitcoin this year Source: Cointelegraph, The Kobeissi Letter

1 Sep 2023

The KBW Bank Index fell by 8.8% in August, the weakest bank in the index is Citi with a -13.4% decline

Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

1 Sep 2023

The world's richest universities

💰Of the 25 wealthiest schools worldwide🌍, only 2 are not from the United States. 💰As of 2022, the University of Texas System had an endowment value of $69 B, making it the wealthiest university in the world🤑. Source: Genuine Impact / Chris Quinn

1 Sep 2023

PCE Deflator, the FOMC's favorite inflation number, show a rise as expected with the YoY at 3.3% (from 3%) and the core at 4.2% (from 4.1%)

Jobless claims at 228k (235k expected) showing continued strength ahead of Friday's NFP report Source: Ole S.Hansen

1 Sep 2023

Disinflation pause?

Eurozone inflation remained stuck at 5.3% in Aug, higher than the 5.1% that economists expected. Core inflation, which excl volatile energy, food, alcohol & tobacco prices & closely watched by ECB as measure of underlying inflation, tumbled to 5.3% in Aug from 5.5% in July, matching expectations. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

31 Aug 2023

We are now seeing the widest spread between mortgage rates and 30-year risk-free rates in history

Should we see this as another barometer of credit tightness in the system? Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

31 Aug 2023

Is the US stock market severely mispriced?

Typically, the dividend yield on the S&P 500 is well above the US 30y real yield. That has changed. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

31 Aug 2023

French CPI a little hotter than expected, rising 50bp in August

This was all due to energy (including higher regulated prices) and the end of the summer sales, but services inflation is still easing driven by transports and "other services". FRENCH CPI YOY NSA PRELIM ACTUAL 4.8% (FORECAST 4.6%, PREVIOUS 4.3%) FRENCH CPI MOM NSA PRELIM ACTUAL 1% (FORECAST 0.8%, PREVIOUS 0.1%) FRENCH HICP MOM PRELIM ACTUAL 1.1% (FORECAST 1%, PREVIOUS 0.0%) FRENCH CONSUMER SPENDING MOM ACTUAL 0.3% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.9%) Source: Bloomberg

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