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Weighted Average interestrate for sp500 non-financial firms is expected to pick-up in 2024e and 2025e but remains quite low by historical standard.
Source: Michel A.Arouet
Is this the reason why the Fed might be forced to cut rates in March?
We could have: 1. Reverse repo ends (see chart below) 2. BTFP expires 3. Fed cuts (allegedly) 4. QT ends (allegedly) I.e 3 and 4 could counter-balance 1 and 2
Natural Gas is now up 54% since the December 13th low and has traded green in 8 of the last 9 days.
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Taiwan Semiconductor is trading at a political discount, which is unlikely to narrow after the election of the China-critical candidate Lai Ching-te.
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Fund flows do not sound "risk-on" at all...
Money Market Funds have seen inflows of $163 billion over the first 2 weeks this year, the highest amount EVER 👇 Source: BofA, Win Smart
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