Syz the moment

Bottom-line: go LONG Fiscal deficits receivers and go SHORT Fiscal deficit payers (i.e interest-rate sensitive sectors) "The wider-than-normal divergence between loose fiscal policy (which is stimulating) and tight monetary policy (which slows things down) contributes to wider-than-normal divergence between the performance of different economic sectors. It results in a wider-than-normal gap between sectors that are directly or indirectly on the receiving side of the deficits (eg business that rely on spending from upper and upper-middle class spenders) vs those that are the most sensitive to interest rates and thus are the most hurt by tight monetary policy (eg commercial real estate). And because some sectors of the economy are doing great partially due to the fiscal stimulus, it makes it unlikely that monetary policy or other assistance will arrive to the weaker areas any time soon. And ironically, because public debt levels are high, tight monetary policy *contributes* to looser fiscal policy by increasing the overall interest expense of the government, which goes to various entities in the economy and strengthens some of the sectors that are not sensitive to interest rates. This is a condition known as fiscal dominance". Lyn Alden

Source: Visual Capitalist

For a “wildly-ambitious” tech project to boost the world’s chip capacity, funded by investors including the U.A.E. — which in turn will vastly expand its ability to power AI models. To put numbers in perspective: $7 TRILLION is around ~10% of global GDP…Or the combined market cap or BOTH Microsoft & Apple. That means he wants to totally reshape the global semiconductor industry. By the way, where will all the energy needed come from? Source: VB, Creative Capital, WSJ

Source image: Motley Fool, BITCOINLFG

Three years ago today, the "meme-stock mania" that saw hundreds of profitless stocks surge hundreds of percent in a matter of months hit its ultimate peak. In the three months leading up to February 12th, 2021, the average stock in the Russell 3,000 (current members) rallied 40%, but there were 178 stocks that saw three-month rallies of more than 100%, 35 stocks that rallied 300%+, and four stocks that rallied over 1,000%. Below is a table of the 35 stocks currently in the Russell 3,000 that rallied 300%+ in the three months leading up to 2/12/21( include also how each of these stocks has performed since 2/12/21) source : bespoke

Temu is going all in on Marketing (including in this Sunday’s Super Bowl) Marketing spend: • 2023 - $1.7 billion • 2024 - $3 billion (est.) source : wsj

US Medium-Term Inflation Expectations Lowest in 11 Years of Data – Source: Bloomberg

Japanese stocks index Nikkei 225 closes up 1066.55 points and within striking distance of all time high 38957! It briefly crossed the 38,000 mark for the first time since the asset bubble burst in 1990 as it rallied about 3% and pushed 34-year highs. In times of financial repression aka negative real rates, real assets go up. January PPI came weaker than expected (+0.0% m/m vs. 0.1% expected) Futures going higher still: Nikkei 38110 Source chart: IG