Long positioning by CTAs is extreme and creates some downside risk for the market.
According to UBS: "ES1 (sp500 futures) is already 100% long with first meaningful sell triggers @ -4% to -6%. NQ1 (nasdaq) is 92% long with first meaningful sell triggers @ - 4% to 6%". Source: TME, UBS
SGS under pressure, on long term swing support
SGS (SGSN SW) is down more than 5% this morning and 43% since January 2022 highs ! Keep an eye at 72.06 support over the next few days. Source : Bloomberg
ENERGY STOCKS SINCE 1926 (relative to S&P)
Source: BofA, The Daily Shot
A topping pattern on crudeoil? Or simply finding support at a long-term trendline before a move higher? This one needs to be watched closely
A great chart from Frank Cappelleri thru Ryan Detrick, CMT.
The "multipolar world" will remain a major topic in 2024 as the rewiring of the global commerce system creates geopolitical risks & business model shifts that will last decades
The Dollar’s & Euro's share in global CenBank reserves dropped. Greenback accounted for 59.2% of globally allocated FX reserves in Q3 2023, down from a revised 59.4% in Q2, lowest since Q4 2022. Euro’s share in reserves also fell to 19.6% from 19.7%, while the participation of Japan's Yen rose to 5.5% from 5.3%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Global Energy Shock Graph (only till 2020 unfortunately) Life without fossil fuels is not for tomorrow
Source: Willem Middelkoop
Freddie Mac Serious delinquency rate US multifamily homes
thru The Daily Shot
You can measure the concrete effects of inflation on your purchasing power over time by using this CPI Inflation calculator
https://lnkd.in/eFFzyTpu (This applies to the US only)
