This isn't a crypto or a meme stock. It's New York Community Bank $NYCB, which acquired failed Signature Bank assets last year, has fallen over over 40% today.
The price of shares in New York Community Bancorp - the regional bank that purchased deposits from Signature Bank last year - crashed today, below SVB crisis lows, after reporting a surprise loss for the fourth quarter and a cut to its dividend. As Bloomberg reports, the bank lowered its quarterly payout to shareholders to 5 cents. Analysts had predicted the dividend would remain at 17 cents. A worsening credit outlook contributed to the unexpected loss, as the company boosted its loan-loss provision more than expected. Source: www.zerohedge.com
Rabobank: "What happens when all of those regional US banks with balance sheets loaded with dubious commercial real estate loans can no longer pledge underwater securities at par?
The answer is more money printing, which explains the price action in the S&P500." Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
As a reminder. The bank never goes bankrupt and G7 countries will NOT default on their claims. Adjustment takes place through money debasement
There are 3 ways to invest at a time of FIAT currency: 1/ Spend 2/ Invest in risk assets 3/ Invest in store of values
🟥 The delinquency rate for credit card loans in 2023 has risen sharply
Which, based on historical patterns, suggests that the economy might be heading towards a recession.
$JPM JP Morgan Chase Q4 FY23.
CEO Jamie Dimon: Deficit spending and supply chain adjustments “may lead inflation to be stickier and rates to be higher than markets expect." • Net revenue +12% Y/Y to $38.6B ($1.2B miss). • Net Income $9.3B. • Non-GAAP EPS: $3.97 ($0.37 beat). • CET1 ratio of 15.0%. • Expect FY24 NII of $90B (+1% Y/Y).
Bank credit is contracting sharply
This has only happened ONCE in the last 50 years. Source: Game of Trades
The average credit card interest rate right now has risen to 27.81%
And that's with U.S. credit card debt hitting new record highs north of $1,000,000,000,000 Source: Hedgeye
Is the US banking crisis really over?
Unrealized losses on investment securities held by US banks hit $684 billion in Q3, according to the FDIC. This marks a 22.5% jump compared to unrealized losses seen last year. The jump was primarily driven by rising mortgages rates reducing the value of mortgage-backed securities held by banks. Despite these challenges, the FDIC states that banks remain "well capitalized." This comes as usage of the Fed's emergency funding facility for banks hit another record high of $114 billion. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
