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The end of complacency? Fear Index Vix has jumped 32.6% last week, the biggest weekly increase since March 2023.
But at 16.5, the Vix level is still below the long-term average of 19.8. And remember that during election years, volatility tends to increase by 25% between July and November... Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Bitcoin has decoupled from its strong correlation with tech overall in the last two weeks...
Source: Bloomberg, zerohedge
This is not a Trump trade but rather a "soft landing trade" => Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy
Source: Edward Jones
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Equal weight S&P 500 (ETF $RSP) is considerably cheaper than the market cap weighted ETF, just as we may see earnings growth broaden out to a wider swath of companies.
Does that spell opportunity? Source: Markets & Mayhem, GS
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