‼️MARKETS JUST ENTERED THE MOST VOLATILE PERIOD OF THE YEAR‼️
In October, equity markets volatility is ~34% above average for the other 11 months of the year. October is also the worst period for the S&P 500 during election years as uncertainty spikes... Sourcre: Bloomberg, Global Markets Investor
RED CAC...
France’s CAC 40 index is back in the red for the year after President Emmanuel Macron backed a temporary tax on the country's largest companies. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Global Equity Returns this year...
Source: Charlie Bilello
The cycle composite for S&P 500
The trend is more important than the level Source: J-C Parets
"The demand for Blackwell is insane." - $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang on CNBC just now
JPMorgan said today that Nvidia expects several billion of Blackwell revenue in Q4 Source: Stocktwits
Bullish sentiment is through the roof:
US equity futures positioning by investors excluding market-makers just hit a net long of ~$290 billion, the most on record. Since the beginning of the year, net long positioning has more than DOUBLED. This is also twice as high as during the previous peaks seen in early 2018 and 2020. Meanwhile, US households' stock allocation as a percentage of financial assets hit a new record of 41.8% in Q2 2024. Investors are all-in on stocks. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The S&P 500's Dividend Yield has moved down to 1.27%, tied with Q4 2021 for the lowest yield since 2000.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Here's a crazy stat on this Chinese equity rally.
A momentum gauge of the Hang Seng Index just hit the highest level in 50 years. The % of members signalling overbought conditions is at a record. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles
