The Buffett Indicator (total value of all publicly-traded stocks/GDP) is near all-time highs and at a significantly higher level than during the Dot Com Bubble and the Global Financial Crisis.
Source: Macro Micro, Charlie Bilello
The Nasdaq 100:
- if you bought at the December 2022 low, you are up 64% - if you bought at the 2021 high. you are up 5%. - if you bought at March 2020 lows, you are up 150% Source: Bespoke, TME
'The Nasdaq 100 valuation has disconnected from real rates.'
Source: The Daily Shot, Win Smart
Mega Cap Tech stocks are approaching an all-time valuation relative to commodities that was last seen during the Dot Com Bubble
Source: Bloomberg, Barchart
There are now 7 comps in the Trillion Dollar Club again. Meta has passed the $1tn mark, and Microsoft is now worth $3tn for the 1st time ever
Note that saudi aramco is the only non-US one Source: Holger Z, Bloomberg
Mega Cap Tech Stocks are now outperforming small-cap stocks by the largest margin since the peak of the Dot Com bubble
Source: Barchart
Bridgewater tells investors it is “moderately bullish” on Chinese stocks as the prolonged rout made valuations attractive, a call made days before the country’s latest stock meltdown
Source: Bloomberg
The key role played by central banks liquidity, as highlighted by Matt King
Many seem surprised by the new record highs in the S&P, given an ambiguous outlook and a backdrop of supposedly tight rates. They are a lot less surprising when you consider that central banks' balance sheet policy has been remarkably easy. Over the past 14 months, the Fed alone has added nearly $500bn, and global central banks over $1.25tn, in liquidity. Source: BofA
