The worst seems behind the economy.
This is indicated by the Ifo Business Climate Index, which has jumped to 87.8 in March, highest level since June 2023 vs 86.0 expected. Current conditions rose to 88.1 in March from 86.9 in Feb, Ifo business confidence to 87.8 from 85.7 in Feb. Suggests that we could see a recovery as households begin to spend their real income gains. Employment is robust and nominal wage growth comfortably exceeds inflation again. There could be some green shoots in the export sector, and even the deep slump in construction may have bottomed out. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
European Stocks are on track for their 8th consecutive green week which would be their longest winning streak since 2022
source : barchart
Disinflationary forces continue in Germany.
Wholesales Prices drop 0.1% MoM in Feb after +0.1% MoM in Jan, plunge 3% YoY which is a good leading indicator for German food price CPI. Sources: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Who are Europe's GRANOLAS?
Novo Nordisk $NVO LVMH $LVMUY ASML $ASML Nestlé $NSRGY L'Oréal $LRLCY SAP $SAP Roche $RHHBY AstraZeneca $AZN Novartis $NVS Sanofi $SNY GSK $GSK Source: App Economy Insights
Europe's leading stock index reaches 500 points for the first time, 24 years following its achievement of 400 points
source : Bloomberg
France's 2023 Deficit 'Significantly' Above 4.9%' (BBG)
France's budget (in)discipline... Since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008, France managed to keep its budget deficit below the 3% threshold (remember the Maastricht Treaty) just once (2018). This is far worse than Italy. France's debt-to-GDP ratio is at 110%, up from 64% pre-financial crisis. With potential GDP growth at a paltry 1% and declining, structurally low interest rates is needed to keep the debt burden afloat. Source: Jeroen Blokland, Bloomberg
Germany Stock Exchange Firm Deutsche Boerse Launches Crypto Trading Platform
Germany-based Deutsche Boerse announced fully regulated crypto trading platform Deutsche Boerse Digital Exchange (DBDX). The spot trading platform is targeted for institutional clients said the Deutsche Boerse. The new Deutsche Boerse Digital Exchange is the latest step in its digital strategy to deliver a fully regulated and secure environment for institutional trading, settlement, and custody for this digital asset class. The German exchange group last year committed to introduce an integrated digital asset platform as part of its Horizon 2026 program. The initial trading will be request-for-quote basis and gradually moving to multilateral trading. Deutsche Boerse will offer trading venue and Crypto Finance (Deutschland) to provide digital asset clearing and settlement services. source : coingape
The stock market rally continues in Germany.
The Dax is heading for its 9th daily gain in a row. The rally is being driven by the Dax "Glory 5" stocks - an index consisting of SAP, Siemens, Allianz, Munich Re, and Deutsche Telekom. These 5 stocks have outperformed the Dax Price Index by almost 100%-pts over a 10 year period. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
