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Sentiment among consumers in Germany keeps deteriorating as persistently high inflation encourages people to save & blots out chances of a recovery before year-end
GfK German Consumer Sentiment Index drops to -26.5 in Oct from -25.6 in Sep. An indicator BELOW 0 signals YoY contraction in private consumption. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Concerns over Italy's ability to cut the budget deficit have increased Italy's 10y risk spread over German bunds
The risk spread may expand more if the ECB raises rates 25bps on Thursday. As highlighted by HolgerZ, Italian banks' €380bn of BTPs are central to the €1.6tn so-called sovereign "doom loop." Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
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