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28 Jun 2024

What a difference a single debate can make...

Odds of Trump winning Presidential election has surged to 60% (red line below) while odds of Biden winning has collapsed (blue line below) due to the very poor performance of incumbent President during yesterday's evening political debate with Trump. As highlighted by Politico >>> "The alarm bells for Democrats started ringing the second Biden started speaking in a haltingly hoarse voice. Minutes into the debate, he struggled to mount an effective defense of the economy on his watch and flubbed the description of key health initiatives he’s made central to his reelection bid, saying “we finally beat Medicare” and incorrectly stating how much his administration lowered the price of insulin. He talked himself into a corner on Afghanistan, bringing up his administration’s botched withdrawal unprompted. He repeatedly mixed up “billion” and “million,” and found himself stuck for long stretches of the 90-minute debate playing defense. And when he wasn’t speaking, he stood frozen behind his podium, mouth agape, his eyes wide and unblinking for long stretches of time"... Rumors are now running wild on whether the Democrats should replace their candidate in a last minute turnaround

28 Jun 2024

Will Biden run for President after yesterday's night debate???

It seems that Democrats will look urgently for a new nominee. Indeed, Many of the Democratic Party’s top fundraisers are privately sounding the alarm after President Joe Biden’s disappointing debate performance Thursday against Republican former President Donald Trump. “Disaster,” said a Biden donor who plans to attend a fundraiser with the president on Saturday in the Hamptons. “This is terrible. Worse than I thought was possible. Everyone I’m speaking with thinks Biden should drop out,” said the person, who was granted anonymity in order to recount private conversations. CNBC began hearing from worried Democratic campaign donors and fundraisers less than 20 minutes into the 90-minute debate hosted by CNN. “Game over,” said a longtime Democratic campaign advisor, who has been raising money for congressional leaders for over a decade and helped raise money for Biden’s 2020 White House bid. https://lnkd.in/eWanGba8

27 Jun 2024

#french #elections: Former President François Hollande back to business?

Hollande is running for a seat in Parliament and Macron didn't put any candidate in front of him. In the (plausible) scenario of a hung parliament, Hollande could be chosen by Macron as Prime Minister of a unity government.

26 Jun 2024

Allan Lichtman the professor who correctly predicted 9 of the past 10 US elections

Source: The Hill

26 Jun 2024

Latest IFOP poll for lower-house snap election in France

This shows far-right way ahead (36% in blue) ahead of far left coalition (28.5% in red) while incumbent Macron's center-right party comes 3rd (21% in orange). It seems that far-right will at least win relative majority

24 Jun 2024

No reasons to worry at all... Just bros living in the moment...

More seriously remember what the East-West divide and the new world order (as defined by Zoltan) are all about: Wars are about alliances: the enemy of your enemy becomes your friend... After the BRICS, should we focus instead on Turkey, Russia, Iran, China, and North Korea playing “TRICKs” – an alliance of economies sanctioned by the U.S. getting ever closer economically and militarily?

24 Jun 2024

France’s National Rally continued to cement its lead in opinion polls a week before the country’s snap parliamentary election, largely at the expense of President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist bloc.

Support for Marine Le Pen’s far-right party was pegged at 36% in a survey by Elabe published Sunday in La Tribune Dimanche. That’s ahead of 27% for the left-wing New Popular Front alliance, and just 20% for Macron’s movement. Source: Bloomberg

24 Jun 2024

Moscow to Mumbai.💥

The INSTC corridor is making progress every day. The International North–South Transport Corridor (INSTC) is a 7,200-km (4500 mile) long multi-mode network of ship, rail, and road route for moving freight between India, Iran, Azerbaijan, Russia, Central Asia and Europe. The objective of the corridor is to increase trade connectivity between major cities such as Mumbai, Moscow, Tehran, Baku, Bandar Abbas, Astrakhan, Bandar Anzali, etc. Russia-Iran-India corridor is a game-changer that involves many countries and different modes of transportation. And quite a logistical and geopolitical accomplishment! Source: S.L Khantan

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