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Relative performance of prior bull market leader vs. the next bull market leader (beginning of bull market = 100)
Source: BofA, TME
A lot has changed over the last two years...
Source: Charlie Bilello
You are here...October and November alone have the highest average monthly return relative to any other months of the year
Source: TME, Equity Clock
10-Year Treasuries have declined 46% from the peak in March 2020 which is among the greatest meltdowns in financial history including the 49% drop in equities during the Dotcom Bubble
Source: Bloomberg, Barchart
Very strange to see the US spending like we are in a recession while calling for a "soft landing."
As highlighted by The Kobeissi Letter, the US is now spending 44% of GDP per year, the same levels as World War 2. Deficit spending alone is a massive 6% of GDP per year. Since the debt ceiling crisis, the US has been borrowing ~$14 billion PER DAY to cover deficit spending. By 2033, Bloomberg projects deficit spending will be ~7% of GDP... Source: CBO, The Kobeissi Letter
Cash now earns more than the S&P 500 by the largest margin in 23 years
Source: TME, Bloomberg
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