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28 Jun 2024

BREAKING: Walgreens stock, $WBA, crashes nearly 25% after drugstore chain cuts profit guidance due to "challenging" consumer environment.

"We assumed the consumer would get somewhat stronger” but “that is not the case,” Walgreens CEO said. Walgreens cut their earnings per share outlook by 12.5% yesterday. The stock is now down 88% from its all time high and 55% in 2024. Another sign that consumers are struggling? Source: The Kobeissi Letter

27 Jun 2024

% Increase over the last 5 years...

US Money Supply (M2): +42% Average US New Home Price: +44% "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." - Milton Friedman Source: Charlie Bilello

26 Jun 2024

🚨CANADA INFLATION UNEXPECTEDLY RE-ACCELERATES.

May CPI +2.9% vs 2.6% expected. Did they cut rates too soon? Should the Fed worry about cutting too soon as well? Source: CTV News

26 Jun 2024

CAUTION: In the US, Credit card interest rates have skyrocketed to a shocking 21.47%

Moreover, credit card debt has crossed the $1 trillion mark. And personal interest payments have risen to over $500 billion. To make things worse, excess savings have now run out Source: Game of Trades

25 Jun 2024

BREAKING: The CBO has raised the US government's deficit forecast for Fiscal Year 2024 from $1.5 trillion to $1.9 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP.

This would be the highest deficit since 2021 when the deficit hit $2.8 trillion in response to pandemic lockdowns. By 2034, the deficit is expected to reach $2.9 trillion or 6.9% of GDP, totaling a whopping $22.1 trillion over the 2025-2034 period. The CBO projection also assumes that net interest will reflect over 50% of the budget deficit over the next decade. These numbers all assume no recessions and lower interest rates. What happens if rate cuts are delayed and a recession hits? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, CBO

21 Jun 2024

The Citi US economic surprise index has fallen to about the most negative since 2022

h/t @daniburgz, Liz Abramowitz, Bloomberg

17 Jun 2024

#moneydebasement

Source: Not Jerome Powell on X

17 Jun 2024

#china #macro: Retail sales beat expectations

The strong growth in retail spending is particularly notable given the continued pressure on the property sector, with negative spillovers to household sentiment. It’s probably a relief to a government looking to reset the economy over time. Source: CNBC. Bloomberg, Mohamed El Erian

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