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Copper's $5 level reminds of the gold's critical $2,000 mark
nce gold breached that resistance, it kept moving with authority. Are we setting the stage for a similar move in copper? Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg
Goldman Sachs Republican winners versus losers basket (i.e long stocks likely to benefit from a Trump victory / short those who are likely to suffer from it) added 2.77% yesterday
Source: Bloomberg, RBC
🚨 Chinese Existing Home Prices declined by 7.9% year-over-year last month, the largest decline in history!
Source: Bloomberg
US 2s/30s yield spread briefly turns positive for 1st time since January
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Inflows to US large cap funds on pace for 2nd largest on record.
Source: Flow Show, TME
A landslide and sweep victory for Trump, this probably reduces uncertainty which is positive for stocks, BTC and the dollar.
Meanwhile, this could lead to more upward pressure on bond yields and a steepening of the yield curve. We also expect the "pro-republican" type of stocks to move higher. Pro-trump / republican seep victory sectors include Energy, Defense, Immigration-enforcement, For-profit education, Financials, some healthcare stocks, etc. Among the losers: Tech, Renewables, etc. From a geographical point of view, some US-friendly countries (India, Vietnam, etc.) might benefit from a Trump re-election. China and Mexico (and US stocks related to them) might suffer. Same for European autos exporters for instance. Source table: Bob Elliott
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