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Yesterday's "SIZE" rotation put into perspective.
US small caps outperformed large caps by 4.5% on Thursday, a 6 standard deviation event and the 2nd biggest outperformance on record (trailing only the 10 sigma differential on October 10, 2008). This brutal rotation is taking place after a huge period of small-caps underperformance vs. large caps $IWM $SPY Source: Charlie Bilello, Steno Research
It has now been over 220 days without a 5% pullback in the S&P 500, the 3rd longest streak in the last 10 years.
The last time a 5% correction occurred was in the second half of 2023. Overall, over the last 34 years, the longest stretch lasted for ~550 days in 2016-2018. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has skyrocketed by 33% since October and 15% year-to-date in one of its best rallies in years. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Goldman Sachs
US manufacturing mega-boom in 2 images
Source: Science is Strategic, The Economist
We're in a slow-motion melt-up according to Ed Yardeni
Source: Business Insider
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