BREAKING: US job openings declined to 8.18 million in June, down from 8.23 million in May, near their lowest level since 2021.
Year-over-year, job openings fell 10.3%, marking the 23rd consecutive monthly decrease, the longest streak since the 2008 Financial Crisis. The ratio of vacancies per unemployed worker, a metric the Fed follows closely, fell to 1.20, the lowest since June 2021. At the same time, the private sector hiring rate declined to 3.7%, the lowest level since April 2020. The private quits rate, measuring the number of people who voluntarily leave their jobs, fell to 2.3%, the lowest since August 2020. This means that Americans are the least confident that they will find a new job since the 2020 Pandemic. => The US labor market is weakening. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Delinquency rates on Office building loans hit 8.11%, the highest in more than a decade 🚨
Source: Barchart
📢 One out of every 15 Americans is a millionaire according to a UBS Wealth Report
Source: UBS, Barchart
Total US Federal debt has officially hit $35 trillion for the first time in history.
Since 2020, the US has now added ~$12 TRILLION in Federal debt. In other words, the US has added an average of ~$280 BILLION of Federal debt EVERY MONTH since January 2020. This means that the US now has ~$105,000 in Federal debt for every person living in the country. All while deficit spending as a percentage of GDP is currently at World War 2 levels. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Goldman: Harris Trails by Around 3pp in the State Currently Most Likely to Decide the Election—Pennsylvania
Source: Mike Z., Goldman Sachs
US Commercial Property Foreclosures jump to more than $20 billion during the 2nd quarter, the most in nearly a decade 🚨
Source: Barchart
As highlighted by Eric Balchunas
The Reshoring ETF $RSHO is quietly nursing a 9-week flow streak (after being ignored since birth) which boosted its assets under management 7x this year. The American Industrial Renaissance ($AIRR) 3ETF also saw AuM jump by $800m YTD. BlackRock noticed this and launched iShares US Manufacturing ETF $MADE. All these ETFS are exposed to Trump Trade 2.0 but this theme spans beyond politics. Source: Bloomberg, Eric Balchunas
US Presidential elections >>> Are we back to square one?
Source: PredictIt, Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
