SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR POWELL'S COMMENTS (5/14/24):
1. "Overall a good picture looking at US economic data" 2. Inflation was notable in Q1 for the lack of further progress 3. Housing inflation has been a bit of a puzzle for the Fed 4. Restrictive policy may take longer than expected to lower inflation 5. Unlikely the Fed's next move will be an interest rate hike 6. "Credibility is everything for central banks" Source: The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: April PPI inflation RISES to 2.2%, in-line with expectations of 2.2%
Core PPI inflation was 2.4%, in-line with expectations of 2.4%. PPI inflation is now up for 3 straight months for the first time since April 2022. This is the highest PPI reading since April 2023. Note that revisions from last month’s PPI left people feeling it wasn’t as “hot” as initially thought on headline numbers. Source: Charlie Bilello
The US Bond Market has now been in a drawdown for 45 months, by far the longest bond bear market in history
Source: Charlie Bilello
A new set of polls reveals that Donald Trump is leading President Biden in five out of six critical battleground states
as young and non-white voters grow increasingly dissatisfied with the current president. Source: www.zerohedge.com, FoxNews
Trends in reshoring, electrification and AI are propelling US investment renaissance
Source: BNP Paribas Asset Management
Global foreign exchange reserves.
The US dollar still dominates but share has been eroding sligthly Source: Michel A.Arouet
In case you missed it...
Atlanta Fed US Q2 GDP Now latest 4.18%, vs last 3.31%...
Shocking stat of the day by The Kobeissi Letter:
US net interest payments as a percentage of federal revenues are set to reach 34% by 2054. This means that ONE THIRD of all government revenue would be spent only to service the national debt. Over the past 8 years, the percentage has already doubled to ~15% and is at its highest in 3 decades. Meanwhile, nominal annualized interest payments have crossed above $1 trillion for the first time ever. We could see $1.6 trillion in annual interest expense by the end of the year if the Fed leaves rates steady. The US government needs lower interest rates more than anyone - i.e Fiscal policy leads monetary policy. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Peter G.Peterson
