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20 Oct 2023

Where do we stand in terms of percentile each year for the below aggregates in the US:

- US Government Debt to GDP = 98th percentile - SP500 Cyclically-adjusted-PE ratio = 99th percentile - US Consumer Price Index YoY change = 88th percentile Sounds like an interesting trifecta... Source: Crescat Capital

20 Oct 2023

US yield curve keeps bear-steepening w/2s/10y spread jumps to -19bps after Fed's Powell has given 'green light' for higher long-term bond yields with the 10-year near 5%

Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

20 Oct 2023

Is US inflation following the footsteps of the 1970s?

Source: Game of Trades

20 Oct 2023

BREAKING >>> Powell says inflation is still too high and lower economic growth is likely needed to bring it down

US 10-year is just 3bp shy of 5%... Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged recent signs of cooling inflation, but said Thursday that the slowing in price increases was not enough yet to determine a trend and that the central bank would be “resolute” in its commitment to its 2% mandate. “Inflation is still too high, and a few months of good data are only the beginning of what it will take to build confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably toward our goal,” Powell said in prepared remarks for his speech at the Economic Club of New York. “We cannot yet know how long these lower readings will persist, or where inflation will settle over coming quarters.” Source: CNBC, Ole S.Hansen, Bloomberg, Saxo

20 Oct 2023

Amazing chart about Canada housing market (on the right) vs. US housing market (on the left).

Source: Michel A.Arouet

20 Oct 2023

Analysts’ earnings downgrades for US companies are increasingly outpacing upgrades

Source: The Daily Shot

19 Oct 2023

To whom the US owes money? Mostly to themselves actually...

Source: The King's Cheque En Qua

19 Oct 2023

Total US debt is now up ~$650 BILLION since it crossed $33 trillion exactly 1 month ago, according to Zerohedge

Yesterday alone, total US debt jumped by another $58 billion. Total US debt has grown by ~$22 billion PER DAY for the last month. In other words, the US has added ~$915 million in debt every hour for the last month. Since the debt ceiling "crisis" ended, total US debt is up over $2 trillion. Since 2020, total US debt is officially up more than $10 TRILLION. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

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