Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Spikes to 10.4%, Just Below Worst of Financial Crisis Meltdown. Fastest 2-Year Spike Ever.
Office-to-residential conversions are growing, but are minuscule because not many towers are suitable for conversion. Source: www,wolfstreet.com, Wolf Richter
US equities: elevated P/E and high growth expectations.
Better for earnings to deliver in order to keep the PEG at reasonable level Source: Morgan Stanley Research
BREAKING 🚨: U.S. banks are now grappling with a whopping $515 billion in unrealized losses.
To put it into perspective, that's over 8x higher than during the 2008 financial crisis. Source: BofA, Jacob King
Donald Trump has said he would impose tariffs of 25 per cent on all US imports from Canada and Mexico on his first day in office (and an extra 10 per cent tariff on Chinese goods).
In social media posts, Trump accused the countries of permitting illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Trump said the new China tariffs would come on top of existing levies. He had also threatened on the campaign trial to impose “whatever tariffs are required” to stop Chinese cars from crossing into the US from Mexico. FT >>> The tariffs on the US’s three largest trading partners would increase costs and disrupt business, one expert said, adding that “even the threat of tariffs can have a chilling effect”. A former US trade official agreed the disruption would be significant, especially given the degree of integration in North American manufacturing across sectors such as the automotive industry. He added that “tariffs are inflationary and will drive up prices”.
JUST IN: 'America elected the most pro-crypto Congress ever with almost 300 pro-crypto elected to the House and Senate - CNBC
Crypto execs, investors and evangelists saw the election as existential to an industry that spent the past four years simultaneously trying to grow up while being repeatedly beaten down. In total, crypto-related PACs and other groups tied to the industry reeled in over $245 million, according to Federal Election Commission data. Nearly 300 pro-crypto lawmakers will take seats in the House and Senate, according to Stand With Crypto, giving the sector unprecedented influence over the legislative agenda. Link to CNBC article >>> https://lnkd.in/euj8FDqN
Breaking news:
Officially, Gary Gensler’s five-year term on the commission does not run out until 2026, but it has become customary for SEC chairs to move on when the US presidency changes hands. https://on.ft.com/4fzNwtJ Source: FT
The similarity between the Dollar rise since the election and what happened in 2016 is uncanny.
In both cases, the Dollar was by this point closing in on a 4% rise, with an ultimate rise of around 6% by the end of the year. So - if 2016 is a guide - there's another 2% to go now. Source: Robin Brooks
US HOUSING AFFORDABILITY HAS NEVER BEEN WORSE
84% of US consumers believe it is a bad time to buy a home, near the most on record. The share is greater than in the 1980s when rates were sky-high and as much as 20% versus 4.5% now. House prices are also near record highs. Source: Global Markets Investor
